Prediction ADT vs Alianza Atlético 2025 – Betting Tips for the Primera Division on 26/09/2025

Match context and momentum

ADT welcome Alianza Atlético to the Estadio Municipal Unión de Tarma on 26 September in what promises to be a lively Clausura clash. The hosts sit above their visitors in the table, occupying sixth with 13 points from nine games, while Alianza Atlético linger down in 14th on 10 points. Recent results give ADT a touch more momentum — a 2-0 victory at Cusco on 23 September lifted spirits and underlined an ability to win on the road earlier in the week — but Alianza Atlético arrive with confidence of their own after a convincing 3-0 home success against Ayacucho. This is one of those fixtures where fine margins and form swings will decide the outcome.

Tactical picture and key statistical clues

The statistical profile hints at an open, attacking tilt for both sides. ADT’s home numbers are eye-catching: 22 goals scored at home and an average of 13.26 shots per game overall. They have recorded seven clean sheets at the same time as showing a tendency for games with goals — their matches go over 2.5 goals more than half the time (55.56%). Alianza Atlético, despite their lower standing, are no slouches defensively when you glance at certain metrics: they boast 13 clean sheets on the season and have conceded 15 away goals, indicating they can be compact but also vulnerable on the road.

Head-to-head context offers a reminder that Alianza Atlético can trouble ADT; the last meeting earlier this year ended 2-0 in favor of Alianza Atlético. Yet the current season’s shape suggests ADT have the edge, especially given their scoring punch at home and more regular winning results across recent matches. Both sides have shown the capacity to find the net and concede — ADT’s matches show both teams scoring in a majority of fixtures, and Alianza Atlético’s recent 3-0 win was an exception rather than the rule.

What to expect on the day

Expect an energetic first half with ADT pushing to impose themselves in front of a modest but vocal home crowd at the 5,000-capacity stadium. Alianza Atlético will likely aim for structure and quick transitions, relying on defensive organization to frustrate the hosts before striking on the break. Goals look likely from both sides at different phases: ADT’s attacking metrics and Alianza Atlético’s known ability to keep games tight suggest end-to-end moments rather than a sterile stalemate.

H3 Betting suggestion

Betting suggestion: 1X2 — Back ADT to win. The hosts combine home scoring form (22 home goals), a higher league position and recent wins, while Alianza Atlético’s away record shows inconsistency despite pockets of defensive resilience. Backing ADT to triumph is the most coherent option from the available data.