Game context and recent form
This Jeddah showdown at Alinma Stadium on 14 January 2026 pits Al Ahli against Al Taawoun in a clash that carries plenty of league intrigue. Al Ahli arrive sitting fourth with 28 points from 13 matches, buoyed by an attacking output of 19 goals and seven clean sheets at home this season. Their recent run reads like a pulse-raising rollercoaster — a string of wins interrupted by a narrow loss to Al Fateh — and they edged Al Akhdoud 1-0 in their latest outing, a performance highlighted by Ivan Toney earning the match’s top rating.
Al Taawoun have been one of the Pro League’s surprise packages, third in the table with 31 points and a superior goal return (29) across the campaign. Their away numbers are notable too: 13 goals scored on the road and only six conceded, and they arrive on the back of a convincing 2-0 victory over Al Shabab where Angelo Fulgini claimed the best-player plaudits. Formally both sides are in rich vein — Al Taawoun boasting eight wins in their last ten, while Al Ahli have seven wins and a draw across theirs — so a competitive, high-intensity encounter is on the cards.
Tactical hints from the stats
The underlying numbers hint at an open contest. Al Ahli average more shots and dangerous attacks per game (13.62 shots and an 86.15 attacks average) than their visitors, indicating they will push forward aggressively at home. Al Taawoun compensate with clinical finishing and a high overall goals tally; their over-2.5 frequency (46.15%) and an effective away scoring record suggest they are comfortable finding the net in hostile territory.
BTTS figures are particularly illuminating: Al Ahli’s home matches have seen both teams scoring in 83.33% of cases, while Al Taawoun’s away encounters produced BTTS in half of their games. Clean-sheet tallies tilt slightly toward the hosts (seven for Al Ahli versus five for Al Taawoun), but the visitors’ firepower and recent form make shutting out Al Ahli unlikely.
Prediction and betting suggestion
Expect a lively, competitive fixture that produces goals at both ends. Given Al Ahli’s attacking aggression at Alinma and Al Taawoun’s potent scoring form, the market that makes the most sense here is the goal market: Both Teams To Score — Yes. The statistical backdrop (high BTTS rate for Al Ahli at home, solid away scoring for Al Taawoun, and recent multi-goal performances from both sides) supports a wager on BTTS over a conservative 1X2 pick.
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