Prediction Al Hazm vs Al Ahli 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the Pro League on 26/09/2025

Match context and recent form

Saturday’s fixture in Buraydah at the King Abdullah Sport City Stadium promises a contrast in trajectories. Al Hazm arrive with a cup hangover in the best possible sense after a late-season flourish: they beat NEOM SC 2-1 in the Kings Cup on 23 September and have shown resilience in recent weeks with a run that includes draws with Al Fateh and Damac and a narrow loss at Al Shabab. Still, the league picture is bleak for the hosts — occupying 14th place after three Pro League rounds with just two points and a single goal scored. Their attacking numbers at home are modest, and across recent matches the goals column has been stubbornly low.

Al Ahli, meanwhile, head to Buraydah as firm favourites on paper and with the stats to justify it. The Riyadh side sit much healthier in 8th, collecting five points from three matches and putting four goals past opponents while conceding three. Their offensive output and shot volume tell the story: Al Ahli average far more total shots and shots inside the box than Al Hazm, and they boast a superior record of clean sheets on the road. That firepower showed through in a 4-2 win earlier this month and an emphatic 5-0 away victory in late August. Even though they suffered a 1-3 reverse to Pyramids in the Intercontinental Cup on 23 September, the underlying numbers still point to a team capable of imposing themselves here.

Tactical snapshot and head-to-head

Statistically Al Ahli dominate the attacking metrics — higher averages for total shots, shots on target, corners and dangerous attacks — which should translate into sustained pressure at King Abdullah Sport City. The last meeting between these sides in the Pro League ended emphatically in Al Ahli’s favour with a 4-0 win, a reminder of the gulf that can open up if Al Hazm can’t tighten their defensive shape.

Fatigue is an angle to monitor. Both teams played on 23 September: Al Hazm secured cup momentum with a win, while Al Ahli travelled and lost in continental action. That said, the depth and quality reflected in Al Ahli’s season stats and the bookmakers’ market paint a clear picture.

Betting suggestion

Considering form, season-long metrics and the market signals, the clearest value lies in the match-winner market. The bookmakers have priced Al Ahli as heavy favourites and the data supports backing the away side to take three points on 26/09/2025. Suggested market: 1X2 — Back Al Ahli to win.