Match context and form lines
Al Jabalain welcome Al Ula to the Prince Abdul Aziz bin Musa'ed Stadium in Hail on December 25, 2025, in what promises to be a fascinating clash in the Division 1 regular season. The home side sit sixth with 20 points from 12 matches — five wins, five draws and two losses — and arrive with a string of gritty results that feature more stalemates than stoppages. Their recent slate includes a 0-0 draw away at Al Jubail and a solid 3-0 victory over Al Draih, underlining a team that can grind out results at both ends. Al Jabalain’s defensive profile at home is notable: 12 goals scored and eight conceded at home, with four clean sheets so far. Those figures point to a side that can frustrate opponents, especially on familiar turf.
Al Ula, by contrast, are perched second in the table with 25 points and have the sharper attacking profile across the campaign. Seven wins, four draws and a single defeat reflect consistency and cutting edge — 27 goals scored and only 10 conceded overall. Their most recent outing was emphatic: a 5-1 demolition of Al-Jandal that displayed both firepower and clinical finishing; Efthymios Koulouris was the standout with a match rating of 7.4 in that performance. Statistically Al Ula generate more attempts and more shots on target, and their away numbers show a team unafraid to attack: 13 goals scored on the road this season.
Tactical matchup and key trends
This fixture will be a battle of patience versus potency. Al Jabalain’s tendency toward draws is reflected in a recent pattern of low-scoring affairs and a strong defensive organisation at home, while Al Ula bring a high-volume shooting approach and superior conversion in recent weeks. The shots data favors the visitors: Al Ula average more attempts inside the box and a higher shots-on-target count than their hosts, suggesting sustained pressure when matches open up. Both teams have produced over 2.5 goals in a fair share of matches — Al Jabalain around 58% and Al Ula 50% — so there is a genuine chance of an open game if Al Ula break the early stalemate.
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Betting suggestion
The balance of evidence points toward Al Ula as the more likely winner: superior league position, recent 5-1 statement win, and stronger underlying shooting metrics. Bookmakers currently reflect that leaning with Al Ula listed at 2.30, making an away win the preferred 1X2 selection. That said, Al Jabalain’s resilience at home means the risk of a draw is real — stake accordingly and consider modest sizing. Final pick: Back Al Ula to win (Away) in the 1X2 market.
