Prediction Al Shabab vs Al Kholood 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the Pro League on 25/09/2025

Preview: Riyadh showdown with momentum on the home side

Al Shabab return to Al-Shabab Club Stadium in Riyadh buoyed by a mixture of hard-fought results and clear statistical superiority. The hosts head into round 4 of the Pro League having collected four points from three league outings and with the confidence of a penalty-shootout success in the Kings Cup against Abha on September 22. That cup tie ended 1-1 in regulation and saw Yannick Carrasco’s performance singled out as the best on the night, a timely morale boost for the home dressing room.

Al Kholood travel after their own midweek cup victory, a 2-1 win away at Al Bukayriyah on the same date. While that result will lift spirits, the numbers across recent fixtures and season aggregates favour Al Shabab. The two sides met earlier in the campaign with Al Shabab prevailing 2-0, a head-to-head result that adds context to the likely game-plan here.

Tactical edges and match indicators

What stands out is the attacking footprint Al Shabab imposes: higher totals in shots (33 vs 25), identical shots on target (8 each) but a far stronger presence inside the box (22 vs 18) and nearly double the dangerous attacks (53.33 vs 33). Corners are another telling metric — Al Shabab average 5.67 per match compared to Al Kholood’s 1.67 — indicating consistent territorial dominance and set-piece opportunities. Defensively both sides have shown vulnerability, but Al Kholood have conceded more in away fixtures, and they have yet to record a clean sheet this season.

Form is mixed for both teams, but Al Shabab’s home profile and superior attacking averages create a clear edge. Al Kholood have produced important wins (notably two recent cup successes and some league scoring), yet their away metrics and lower overall attack volume suggest this will be an uphill afternoon in Riyadh. The bookmakers mirror that assessment: Al Shabab are firm favourites at 1.65 with a probability implied around 60.6%.

Match-up narrative and what to expect

Expect Al Shabab to press, control wide and look to convert set-piece and corner advantage, while Al Kholood will try to be compact and hit on transitions. Both teams came through midweek fixtures, so late stamina and squad rotation could be factors, but home dominance in attacking actions and last season’s 2-0 victory give Al Shabab the psychological and statistical upper hand.

Betting suggestion (based on the available data) Back Al Shabab to win (1X2) — Home win at 1.65. The odds reflect Al Shabab’s superiority in attacking metrics, home advantage and a favorable head-to-head history, making the home victory the strongest single-market choice from the available options.