Match preview — Alanyaspor firm favourites in Alanya
Alanyaspor return to Bahçeşehir Okulları Stadyumu on 13 January buoyed by form and a recent head-to-head triumph over Fatih Karagümrük. The Turkish Cup Group Stage tie in Alanya pits the group leaders against a visitor who sit fifth in the same group. Bookmakers have made the home side heavy favourites, with Alanyaspor priced at 1.51 (66.23% implied probability), a clear market signal that the hosts are expected to control the contest. The fixture carries extra context: the teams met on 21 December in the Super Lig and Alanyaspor came away with a 2-0 victory, a result that will give the home crowd confidence inside the 10,128-capacity stadium.
Form and statistical edge — where Alanyaspor hold the advantage
Recent match reports underline Alanyaspor’s consistency; they arrive after a 2-0 friendly victory over Metaloglobus and have enjoyed a run that features more wins and very few losses. Their attacking volumes stand out: 42 total shots with 25 on target across recent sample data and impressive averages for attacks (101.33) and dangerous attacks (53.67). Those numbers contrast with Fatih Karagümrük’s lower shot output — 19 total shots and eight on target — despite a slightly higher attacksAverage (117) and dangerousAttacksAverage (82.5). The statistical story is nuanced: Fatih can create chances, but Alanyaspor display superior finishing frequency and home clean-sheet tendencies (two recent clean sheets at home, and bttsHomeCount is 0). Add to that the recent 2-0 head-to-head win and it’s easy to see why Alanyaspor are clear favourites.
Match dynamics and what to expect
This tie is likely to see Alanyaspor set the tempo from the start. Their shot volume and the propensity to keep opponents quiet at home suggest a controlled, front-foot approach. Fatih Karagümrük’s mixed form — including a recent friendly defeat to Petrolul 52 — means they arrive with questions to answer about consistency. With both teams’ recent results showing conservative scorelines and Alanyaspor’s recent ability to keep clean sheets at home, the game could tilt towards a low-to-moderate scoring affair where the home side’s quality in the final third decides the outcome.
Further reading for bettors
For readers wanting to refine market selection and staking, consider brushing up on broader market strategies such as Soccer betting tips and the choice of markets and the psychological side of staking via How to have emotional control when placing bets? These guides can help turn confident match reads into disciplined betting decisions.
Suggested bet (1x2): Back Alanyaspor to win. The data favours the hosts — superior home attacking output, recent head-to-head victory (2-0), group leaders status and a bookmakers’ price of 1.51 that reflects a strong probability. This pick aligns with the match narrative: Alanyaspor to secure the three points in Alanya.
