Prediction Alianza Universidad vs Sport Boys 2025 – Betting Tips for the Primera Division on 26/09/2025

Match preview

Huánuco will host a clash between two struggling sides when Alianza Universidad welcome Sport Boys to Estadio Heraclio Tapia León on 26/09/2025. On paper this is a battle between lowly units in the Clausura: Alianza sit 15th with ten points from nine matches while Sport Boys hover two places below in 17th with six points from ten games. Both teams have had their share of poor runs, and that inconsistency is what makes this fixture intriguing — neither has the form to impose themselves comfortably, but small margins could decide the day.

Alianza Universidad come into the game having lost 2-0 to Atlético Grau on 18 September, a result that underlined some defensive fragility despite flashes of attacking intent in earlier wins over Los Chankas and Comerciantes Unidos. The team’s recent sequence shows three wins, one draw and six defeats in the last ten competitive outings, and the season numbers tell a similar story: nine goals scored and fifteen conceded in league play. Their home ground will be an important factor; a capacity of 25,000 and familiarity with the conditions can help them grind out results.

Sport Boys arrive with even less momentum. They have managed only a single win in ten matches, with three draws and six defeats, and their recent results include a couple of draws — 1-1 with Atlético Grau and a 2-2 stalemate with Cienciano — but also several narrow losses. Their attacking output is concerning: just five goals across ten outings while conceding thirteen. The form line reflects a side that is capable of a spirited display on occasion — Carlos López earned a standout 8.12 rating in the last draw — but consistency has been absent.

Form and statistical edge

The numbers paint a match likely to be tense and scrappy. Both teams have an even split on the “both teams to score” and over 2.5 goals indicators sitting around the 50% mark, suggesting games involving either side can be low-scoring but are far from predictable. Alianza’s attack has produced more chances overall — higher totals in shots and attacking entries — yet they have also leaked goals at home and away. Sport Boys’ defensive record is marginally better on paper, but their inability to convert chances leaves them vulnerable to conceding the decisive goal.

Head-to-head history adds a twist: earlier in the year Sport Boys recorded a 4-2 win over Alianza Universidad in the Apertura, showing they can hurt their hosts on their day. Still, recent trajectories favor the home side edging this one: Alianza have been able to pick up three wins in nine and will lean on home comforts to reverse a poor run.

Betting suggestion: Alianza Universidad to win (1X2). Based on slightly stronger recent form, home advantage at Estadio Heraclio Tapia León, and a more reliable winning habit in their most recent matches, the home victory is the most justifiable single-market pick.