Prediction Almería vs Racing Santander 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for La Liga 2 on 07/09/2025

Match context and early-season storyline

The Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos will be buzzing on 07/09/2025 when Almería host the pacesetters Racing Santander in a Round 4 La Liga 2 clash that carries more than just three points — it reveals early-season momentum. Almería arrive sitting ninth with five points from three matches, an attack-minded side that has already produced seven goals while conceding six. Racing Santander, by contrast, have been ruthless, top of the table with a perfect start of three wins, ten goals scored and only four conceded. That contrast sets up a compelling tactical and emotional contest: home confidence meets away momentum.

Form, recent results and what they reveal

Almería’s recent slate is mixed but entertaining. Their last three league encounters include a 2-2 draw at Real Sociedad II and a 1-0 away victory at Cultural Leonesa, on top of high-scoring friendlies that point to an aggressive offensive approach — Almería have recorded draws of 4-4 and wins with multiple goals in pre-season. The team’s attacking numbers back that up: 60 total shots across recent fixtures, 19 on target and an average of 112.67 attacks per game. Those figures underline a side that presses forward and creates chances, though they have also been vulnerable defensively, as their goals conceded tally suggests.

Racing Santander come to Almería unbeaten in league play, their previous three La Liga 2 matches all wins — including a convincing 4-1 triumph over Ceuta in their most recent outing where Iñigo Vicente earned the match’s standout rating. Racing have averaged fewer total shots than Almería but a higher rate of shots on target and a superior conversion into goals: 10 scored in three matches and clean, clinical finishing have been key to their early success. Their offensive potency combined with clinical finishing makes them a genuine threat even away from home.

What the numbers point to and the match shape

Both teams’ data suggest an open game. Over 2.5 goals has appeared frequently for these sides recently: Almería’s fixtures show a two-thirds rate for over 2.5 matches and Racing’s matches have been over 2.5 in every recorded recent outing. Almería average more attacks and shots, while Racing compensate with efficiency and finishing. Head-to-head memory from May’s meeting favours Almería who won 2-0, but form this summer tilts towards the visitors.

Betting suggestion: Back Over 2.5 goals (goal market).