Amiens SC welcome Bastia to the Stade Crédit Agricole de la Licorne on 12/09/2025 for a Ligue 2 clash that promises tension more than fireworks. The hosts arrive on the back of mixed but encouraging results: four points from recent draws and a narrow win interspersed with a loss, leaving them eighth in the table with five points from four games. Bastia, by contrast, sit 17th with a single point from three matches and have found the early season grind tougher, with two defeats and only one draw to show. The scoreboard paint suggests a lean towards a cagey encounter rather than an all-out goalfest.
Amiens’ recent run features a 1-1 draw at Montpellier and a 2-2 stalemate with Reims, showing they can both score and be susceptible at the back; their overall numbers show six goals scored and five conceded in the league so far. Bastia have struggled for goals away from home — the stats indicate zero goals scored in away fixtures this term and only two goals overall, while conceding five. Bastia’s attacking metrics are not without merit; they average a higher volume of attacks and shots, but those numbers have not translated into away goals in this campaign. Amiens’ home attacking work, meanwhile, is moderate and efficient enough to cause problems, and the hosts’ previous meeting in January ended 1-0 in Amiens’ favour, a reminder that these clashes can be decided by fine margins.
Last round performances supply two notable names who influenced results: Teddy Averlant earned the plaudits for Amiens in their draw at Montpellier, while Amine Boutrah stood out for Bastia despite his side’s defeat to Guingamp. Expect Amiens to lean on a compact home shape, intent on controlling dangerous attacks and exploiting Bastia’s away scoring woes. Bastia should not be underestimated — their shots and attacking averages hint at probing intent — but converting that intent into away goals has been problematic this season.
Given the balance of the data — Amiens’ better early-season points return, Bastia’s lack of away goals so far, the low-scoring head-to-head history and both teams’ modest over-2.5 records — the most sensible stake in the goals market is Under 2.5 goals. The statistical picture points to a tight, low-scoring contest where chances may be at a premium and a single moment could decide the outcome. Back Under 2.5 goals for a cautious, data-aligned play.
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