Prediction Ayacucho vs Cusco FC 2025 – Betting Tips for the Primera Division on 18/09/2025

Form lines point one way: Cusco FC riding a wave

Ayacucho welcome Cusco FC to Estadio Ciudad de Cumaná on September 18 in what shapes up as a classic underdog-versus-league-leader showdown. Ayacucho’s Clausura campaign has been an uphill struggle; seven matches have yielded just seven points, a meagre return that leaves them sitting 14th in the table. Their recent results read like a cautionary tale: a solitary win over UTC Cajamarca was sandwiched between defeats to Melgar, Alianza Lima and Sport Huancayo, punctuated only by a goalless draw with Sport Boys. The home side’s numbers underline the problems — 10 goals scored at home but a worrying 19 conceded, and an overall inconsistency that sees them win and lose in quick alternation.

Cusco FC arrive in a different mood entirely. Undefeated through seven Clausura fixtures, top of the table with 19 points and boasting six wins and a single draw, they have been both clinical and resilient. Recent results include a confidence-boosting 3-2 victory over Sporting Cristal, and an earlier 3-0 away win over Ayacucho in the Apertura campaign — a result that still looms large. Facundo Callejo’s performance in the last match earned him the best-player rating, and the team’s collective attacking return speaks for itself: 12 goals scored and only three conceded so far in the competition.

Statistics that matter for Sunday

Numbers tell the story here. Cusco’s attacking output is superior in almost every metric: more total shots, more shots on target, higher averages in attacks and corners, and a defensive record that yields clean sheets far more often than their opponents. Ayacucho’s home defensive frailties are exposed by 19 goals conceded on their own turf, while Cusco have marshalled 10 clean sheets across competitions. Both teams show a decent record for goals in their games — Ayacucho with 50% BTTS at home and Cusco with solid over/under figures — but the balance of quality lies with the visitors, who combine attacking bite with defensive solidity.

What to expect on matchday

Expect Cusco FC to control large periods, probing for weaknesses and capitalising on any defensive lapses from Ayacucho. The hosts have shown they can nick a result — their recent win over UTC demonstrates spirit — yet sustaining that level against a league leader will be a different challenge. The prior 3-0 victory for Cusco in April is a psychological edge too; confidence and form point to the visitors being comfortable in taking the initiative. If Ayacucho are to frustrate, they will need to tighten up at the back and find a spark up front from their best performers.

Betting suggestion: Cusco FC to win (1X2). Given Cusco’s unbeaten run, superior attacking and defensive statistics, recent head-to-head dominance and stronger match momentum, the safest single-market selection is a straight away victory for Cusco FC.