Prediction AZ vs PEC Zwolle 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the Eredivisie on 24/09/2025

Build-up: AZ set to flex attacking muscle at AFAS Stadion

AZ arrive at the AFAS Stadion with real momentum. Unbeaten in the league so far this season, their five-match return of three wins and two draws has produced an attractive goal tally — 12 scored and just seven conceded — and a team that looks balanced and dangerous in the final third. Their recent performance against Feyenoord ended 3-3, underlining both their offensive intent and occasional defensive vulnerability, but across the sample they have dominated chances: 88 total shots with 29 on target and an average of nearly 17.6 shots per game. That kind of volume forces results and explains why the home faithful in Alkmaar can reasonably expect another positive night.

PEC Zwolle’s rollercoaster form makes them unpredictable visitors

PEC Zwolle come into this fixture struggling for consistency. Two wins from five with three defeats tell the story — they can be beaten, and have lost recent league matches to stronger sides. Their attacking numbers are modest: 39 total shots across the same span and only 4 goals to show, while the away record reflects a low corners average and fewer dangerous attacks. Their recent 0-2 loss to Go Ahead Eagles exposed issues breaking down mid-block opposition; PEC have flashes — two clean sheets in the period — but their offensive output away from home has been limited. Historically, their last trip to AZ in February ended in a 2-0 defeat, a reminder of how the hosts have handled them recently.

Key trends and what to expect

The statistical picture leans heavily towards AZ dictating play. Their high-shot volumes and over-2.5 goals frequency (four of five matches) suggest games involving AZ are more open and goal-rich. PEC Zwolle’s lower shot and dangerous-attack averages make it hard for them to control games at venues like AFAS Stadion. Bookmakers clearly reflect this: AZ are strong favorites with a home price around 1.34 and an implied probability north of 70 percent. Add the head-to-head edge and home advantage and the narrative favors AZ to take the three points.

Betting suggestion: Back AZ to win (1) — the data supports a confident home selection. AZ’s unbeaten form, superior chance creation and recent head-to-head success make the straight 1X2 selection the clearest value pick from the two market options.