Prediction Banfield vs Unión Santa Fe 2025 – Betting Tips for the Liga Profesional de Fútbol on 26/09/2025

Match context and what’s at stake

Banfield hosts Unión Santa Fe at Estadio Florencio Solá in Lomas de Zamora on 26 September in a clash that feels like a little mini-final in round 10 of the 2nd Phase. The referee assigned, Luis Lobo Medina, will preside over two teams heading in contrasting directions in the table: Banfield sit sixth with 13 points from nine matches, while Unión top the group with 16 points. That gap is small, but the form lines and the underlying numbers give a clearer picture — Unión arrive as the steadier unit, Banfield as the more unpredictable side capable of flashes but vulnerable at the back.

Form, recent meetings and momentum

Banfield’s recent run reads like a rollercoaster. They have four wins, one draw and four defeats in the group so far, and their last outing was a heavy 3-0 loss to Argentinos Juniors on 21 September where Sergio Vittor was the best-rated performer despite the team’s collapse. Unión, by contrast, have been hard to beat: four wins, five draws and just one loss in their latest sequence, and they shared the spoils 2-2 in their most recent fixture against Independiente Rivadavia where L. Vargas stood out. The psychological edge also tilts towards Unión — in March they beat Banfield 3-1 in their most recent head-to-head in this competition.

Statistical battle and tactical edge

Numbers underline Unión’s control of the attacking picture. They have found the net 15 times and conceded only 8 across nine matches, while Banfield’s 9 goals scored and 13 conceded reveal a side that struggles for consistency in both phases. Unión generate more volume — higher total shots, more shots on target and a superior dangerous attacks average — which translates into a team that creates and finishes better opportunities. Banfield’s home ground capacity and fan presence will matter, but defensively they’ve leaked goals away from home and their recent heavy defeat raises questions about confidence.

Prediction and betting logic

Bookmakers have priced this as a near three-way contest — away at 2.78, draw 2.84 and home 2.80 — but the slender differences obscure the value. Given Unión Santa Fe’s superior goal difference, steadier form, recent H2H win and attacking metrics, the cleanest, data-driven pick is to back the visitors in the 1X2 market. It’s a classic away-over-favorite scenario where form and efficiency suggest Unión can repeat their recent success.

Betting suggestion: 1X2 — Unión Santa Fe to win (Away) at 2.78