Prediction Basel vs VfB Stuttgart 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the Europa League on 02/10/2025

Match preview: Basel looking to bounce back at St. Jakob-Park

Basel return to St. Jakob-Park on October 2 with a point to prove after a mixed start to the season. The Swiss side sit without points in the Europa League group after a 1-2 reverse in their opening fixture, and domestic form has been patchy as well — a recent 1-2 home defeat to Luzern fresh in the memory. That result underlined inconsistencies at both ends of the pitch for Basel, who have been capable of flashes of quality but have also dropped points in games they might have expected to control. The club’s recent run shows wins and losses alternating enough to keep fans on edge, and their group statistics reflect that uncertainty: one match played, one goal scored and two conceded.

VfB Stuttgart arrive in Basel buoyed by momentum. The German side head into the Europa League encounter off the back of a 2-1 away win against FC Köln, and they already sit on three points in the group after an opening victory. Stuttgart’s recent sequence reads as a solid run with more wins than defeats, and the numbers back up their attacking intent — a higher average of total shots, more efforts on target and a strikingly superior dangerous attacks metric. Angelo Stiller’s performance in the most recent domestic triumph earned him recognition and highlights the midfield control Stuttgart have been able to establish when things click.

Tactical glance and what to expect

On paper and in numbers, Stuttgart edge this matchup. Their average of 19 total shots per game and six shots on target compares favorably with Basel’s 15 shots and four on target. The difference in dangerous attacks — 76 for Stuttgart to Basel’s 42 — suggests the visitors are generating higher-quality opportunities and testing opponents more effectively. Corners also tell a familiar story; Stuttgart’s set-piece volume gives them another route to create pressure.

Basel will look to use home advantage at a near-38,000 capacity St. Jakob-Park to unsettle the visitors, but their defensive record in the group stage and the recent domestic loss underline vulnerability to counter-attacks and sustained pressure. Expect Stuttgart to press and probe early, while Basel may need to be sharper in transition to create chances and avoid conceding control of the midfield.

Conclusion and betting suggestion

Given form lines, attacking metrics and the market pricing that favors an away outcome, the sensible play is to side with the in-form visitors. Backing VfB Stuttgart in the 1X2 market captures that momentum and value while reflecting the underlying match dynamics.

Betting suggestion: 1X2 – VfB Stuttgart to win (confidence: medium).