Prediction Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Borussia Mönchengladbach 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the Bundesliga on 21/09/2025

Match build-up: BayArena primed for an early-season statement

Bayer 04 Leverkusen welcome Borussia Mönchengladbach to the BayArena on 21/09/2025 in a clash that already carries more than simple early-season curiosity. Leverkusen arrive off a bruising midweek Champions League draw with FC København, where Alejandro Grimaldo was the standout with a top rating as the game finished 2-2. That result continued a streak of high-octane encounters for the hosts: three of Leverkusen’s recent domestic and continental fixtures have produced multiple goals, and their season numbers underline a side that creates chances and is prone to open affairs. The referee appointment of Felix Zwayer adds a steadying hand to what promises to be a billed Bundesliga broadcast.

Mönchengladbach, by contrast, face a mounting league concern. Last weekend’s 0-4 reverse at Werder Bremen leaves them without a win in the Bundesliga so far, and their early-season ledger reads worryingly: no goals scored across league fixtures and five conceded. Their trip to Leverkusen follows a weekend defeat on 14 September, which gives them a few extra days to regroup but also highlights fragile confidence levels after a difficult start.

Form, stats and what they tell us

Leverkusen’s underlying numbers show a side that consistently produces opportunities and has been involved in goal-heavy encounters. Their home metrics point to an attacking average that translates into shots and clear chances; they have recorded three matches over 2.5 goals so far this campaign. Conversely, Gladbach’s season data paints a team struggling to turn possession or shots into goals; they’ve managed no goals in the league while accumulating defensive frailties.

Head-to-head history offers Leverkusen an additional psychological edge: the most recent meeting in January delivered a 3-1 win for the hosts, a further reminder that when these two meet the home team often gets the better of the exchange. Bookmakers reflect that balance decisively — Leverkusen are clear favorites with a home price around 1.57, a probability north of 60 percent, while the visitors are priced long at 5.00.

Prediction and betting suggestion

Taking the form, shot profiles and recent results together, the sensible lean for this fixture is toward the hosts. Leverkusen combine attacking verve at the BayArena with the momentum of Champions League competition and a recent record of high-scoring matches. Gladbach arrive in search of confidence and goals they have yet to find in Bundesliga play.

Betting suggestion: Back Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win (1) in the 1X2 market. The home side’s superior form, historic edge and the market odds make the home victory the clearest value option from the two markets considered.