This World Cup qualifying Group Stage clash in Zalaegerszeg shapes up as a test of character for both sides. Belarus arrives smarting from a heavy 5-1 defeat away to Greece just days earlier, a result that underlined defensive vulnerabilities and left them pointless in the group. Their recent ten-match sequence is a mixed bag — flashes of attacking potency with four wins and three draws among ten results, but inconsistency and that damaging loss to Greece hang over this fixture.
Scotland head into the match with a more stable platform after a goalless draw with Denmark in their most recent outing. That clean sheet underlines a team capable of grinding out results on the road; their ten-match run shows as many ups as downs but crucially includes solid defensive performances. Scotland currently sit above Belarus in the group and will be confident of taking a positive result from this trip.
The underlying stats point to an intriguing battle. Both teams averaged 11 total shots in their recent matches, but Belarus managed four on target compared to Scotland’s one — indicating Belarus can test the keeper when on form. However, Belarus also conceded five away goals in the group so far and have zero clean sheets, while Scotland have already registered a shutout in qualifying, suggesting a more disciplined defensive shape from the visitors.
Scotland lead on dangerous attacks (44 to Belarus’s 35), and their discipline in limiting clear chances was on display against Denmark. Belarus enjoy more corners on average (7 to Scotland’s 4), which hints at a route to goal via set-piece pressure at ZTE-Aréna, but their susceptibility at the back remains the worrying factor.
Head-to-head history is sparse in recent years, with the last recorded meeting back in 2005 ending 1-0 to Scotland — a small psychological edge for the visitors.
Given Belarus’s recent heavy defeat and lack of clean sheets, coupled with Scotland’s defensive resilience and superior dangerous attack metrics, the balance tips toward the away side. Scotland’s ability to stifle opponents and pick opportunities on the break should be decisive in this encounter.
Betting suggestion: Back Scotland to win (1X2 market — Away win).
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