Prediction Belgrano vs Newell's Old Boys 2025 – Betting Tips for the Liga Profesional de Fútbol on 23/09/2025

Match mood and context

A spicy clash arrives in Córdoba as Belgrano host Newell's Old Boys in Round 9 of the 2nd Phase of the Liga Profesional de Fútbol. The game at Estadio Julio César Villagra carries more than local pride — both teams sit level on nine points after eight matches and will be desperate to pull clear in a congested mid-table. Referee Daniel Zamora takes charge of what promises to be a lively encounter on 23/09/2025, and Belgrano arrive with the psychological edge after a 3-1 victory over Newell's just days ago in the Copa Argentina quarter-final.

How form and recent meetings shape expectations

Belgrano have shown flashes of attacking potency, illustrated by that recent cup win where F. Jara earned the match's top rating. Their domestic form is mixed but not flat; four wins, three draws and three defeats in the most recent sample show a side capable of stringing positive results together. Newell's meanwhile are similarly inconsistent. They have registered three wins, three draws and four losses in their last ten outings and have struggled to maintain momentum across competitions.

The head-to-head from 17 September is instructive: a 3-1 victory for Belgrano proves they can hurt Newell's defensively and also shield themselves from a return. Statistically the battle looks finely poised. Belgrano at home have seen both teams score in 60% of their matches, while Newell's concede and score on the road often enough — their away BTTS rate sits around 55.56%. That combination suggests open spells and mutual threat, even if neither side is flying up the scoring charts overall.

Tactical expectations and statistical leanings

Shot figures and attacking averages are broadly comparable, with both teams producing similar total-shot numbers and dangerous attack metrics. Neither side posts an overwhelming over-2.5-goals frequency — the over 2.5 percentages are underwhelming for both — but the strong BTTS indicators on both sides hint at games where one defensive lapse can lead to goals for both teams. Recent clean-sheet tallies are a little misleading in the raw numbers, but the practical takeaway is that each side can be breached.

Bookmakers make Belgrano the favourite at roughly 2.04, with a draw trading around 3.15 and Newell's priced near 3.95. The market respects Belgrano's home comfort and their recent cup success against the same opponent, yet it also acknowledges the draw as a viable outcome given the tight league table.

Betting suggestion

Considering the recent cup result, the home advantage and the data pointing to mutual scoring, the best single-market recommendation here is Both Teams To Score — Yes. Belgrano’s home BTTS rate of 60% combined with Newell’s 55.56% away BTTS suggests a strong likelihood of both sides finding the net even if the match doesn’t explode into a high-scoring thriller. This is a sensible goals-market play with solid rationale behind it; treat it as a medium-confidence selection and size your stake accordingly.