Prediction Benfica vs Gil Vicente 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the Liga Portugal on 26/09/2025

Match preview: big stage at Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

On 26 September 2025, the lights will shine bright over Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica as Benfica welcome Gil Vicente in round 7 of the Liga Portugal regular season. Benfica arrive with an enviable record in the group table — unbeaten across six matches with four wins and two draws, 11 goals scored and only three conceded — and the home crowd will expect a strong statement at a venue that holds over 68,000 supporters. Recent results show a mixed bag for the hosts in the short term: a convincing 3-0 away victory at AVS and a 1-1 draw with Rio Ave, as well as a narrow defeat in Europe against Qarabağ. Those results underline a side that creates chances in volume — Benfica totalled 98 shots across their matches with 37 on target and an average of 125.33 attacks per game — but occasionally concedes at the wrong moments.

Form and recent meetings: momentum versus resilience

Gil Vicente come to Lisboa with their own momentum. The visitors sit just a point behind Benfica in the standings, boasting four wins, one draw and a solitary loss. Their recent run includes wins over Estoril and Braga and a string of clean sheets that stands out: five clean sheets recorded and goals conceded away at zero in the data set, highlighting an organization that is difficult to break down. The head-to-head memory from earlier in the year favors Benfica, with a 3-0 victory in March that saw Gil Vicente on the wrong end of a decisive scoreline. Statistically Benfica edge the creative metrics with higher shots and dangerous attacks averages, while Gil Vicente’s compact defensive numbers — fewer attacks and a high clean sheet count — promise a clash of initiative against discipline.

How the game could unfold and final verdict

Expect Benfica to take the initiative, pressing from the front and generating a high volume of shots and attacking sequences. Gil Vicente are likely to remain compact and seek to frustrate, hitting on the break where possible. The numbers suggest Benfica are the dominant force here: home advantage, superior attacking figures, current unbeaten run, and a recent head-to-head 3-0 win all tilt the balance. Gil Vicente’s defensive resilience makes a high-scoring rout unlikely, but the underlying bookmaking picture is telling — the market heavily favors the home side with odds that convey clear trust in a Benfica victory.

Betting suggestion: back Home (Benfica) on the 1X2 market. The data supports Benfica as the clear favorite — strong attacking metrics, unbeaten league run and a recent 3-0 H2H victory — and the bookmaker price for a Benfica win is the most logical pick based on form and context.