Prediction Boyacá Chicó vs Deportivo Pereira 2025 – Betting Tips for the Liga BetPlay on 22/09/2025

Match outlook and context

Boyacá Chicó welcome Deportivo Pereira to Estadio de La Independencia in Tunja on 22/09/2025 in what promises to be a cagey Liga BetPlay clash. The numbers paint a clear picture: Chicó sit down the table in 19th with just two wins from ten matches and only nine points, while Pereira occupy 11th with a steadier return of 13 points from eleven games. Recent form has been a mixed bag for both sides, but the mood around the home team looks more fragile after a heavy 4-0 reverse to Deportes Tolima in their last outing. Pereira arrive off a 0-0 draw with Llaneros, a result that underlines their ability to grind out low-scoring outcomes on the road.

Tactical angles and key trends

Tunja’s stadium will be an important factor. Boyacá Chicó have shown they can be stubborn at times — recent domestic results include a 1-0 home victory and a 0-0 stalemate — but they have also been punished on the counter and conceded repeatedly away from home. Deportivo Pereira offer a contrasting profile: more aggressive in shot volume and chances, reflected in higher total shots and shots on target aggregates, yet their away numbers show vulnerability in conceding. Both teams register a significant number of clean sheets in the available stats and neither side has consistently produced high-scoring encounters. Head-to-head earlier this year finished 1-1, a reminder that these teams can cancel each other out when the stakes are close.

What the stats suggest

The micro-data points toward a low-scoring duel. Both clubs register over/under figures around the mid-30s for games finishing over 2.5 goals, indicating that most of their matches settle under that threshold. The BTTS percentages (roughly mid-40s to 50%) imply that while goals for both sides are possible, they are far from guaranteed. Pereira’s most recent 0-0 and Boyacá Chicó’s mix of narrow defeats and tight draws underline a tendency for matches decided by set pieces, small margins or single strikes rather than goal fests. Bookmakers give a slight edge to the hosts with home priced at 2.52, the draw at 2.98 and the away win at 3.05 — a market that reflects a tight balance but slightly favors Chicó due to the home factor.

Betting suggestion Given the conservative scoring patterns from both teams, their recent results and the bookmakers’ tight market, the most sensible bet from the data is on the goal market: Under 2.5 goals. This aligns with the teams’ low over-2.5 percentages, frequent clean sheets, and recent 0-0/1-0 scorelines that point to a low-scoring contest.