Prediction Burnley vs Nottingham Forest 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the Premier League on 20/09/2025

Form lines and mood at Turf Moor

Burnley arrive at Turf Moor under pressure in the early weeks of the 2025/2026 Premier League season. The Clarets sit 17th with a single win from four league outings and a fragile defensive record that has seen seven goals conceded so far. Their most recent top-flight outing was a 0-1 defeat to Liverpool on 14 September — a tight affair in which Quilindschy Hartman stood out as Burnley’s top performer — and that narrow loss continued a sequence of mixed results that has left the home crowd searching for confidence. At home, Burnley’s attacking numbers are modest: fewer total shots and a lower average of dangerous attacks than their visitors, though they have shown they can grind out results against lesser opposition.

Nottingham Forest, positioned 15th, arrive with only a single league victory but with a greater tendency for open, high-scoring affairs. Forest conceded four goals in the league already and then suffered a dramatic Carabao Cup reversal on 17 September, blowing a 2-0 half-time lead to lose 3-2 to Swansea City — a result that underlines their vulnerability at the back but also their capacity to create chances. Statistically, Nottingham Forest carry the sharper attacking profile into this fixture: higher shots per game, more attempts inside the box, and a pronounced edge in dangerous attacks and corners. Those trends point to a side that will look to impose itself in the final third even if defensive frailties remain.

Tactical edge and likely narrative

This promises to be a clash of Burnley’s home resilience versus Forest’s more expansive approach. Turf Moor will be loud and pro-Burnley, but the visitors’ ability to generate chances inside the penalty area is notable: Nottingham average far more attacks and dangerous moves per match than Burnley, suggesting they can force openings even away from home. Burnley’s home goals conceded figure paired with Forest’s knack for creating pressure hints at a match where both sides find the target.

The head-to-head history nudges slightly toward Nottingham Forest — they beat Burnley 2-1 when the teams last met in the Premier League — and recent match patterns reinforce the expectation of an open game. Burnley’s ability to keep clean sheets is limited and Nottingham’s recent fixtures have consistently featured multiple goals. The referee, Thomas Bramall, will oversee a contest that could swing quickly if one side scores early: Burnley will try to shore up; Forest will probe relentlessly.

Betting suggestion

Based on the attacking metrics and the recent high-scoring nature of Nottingham Forest’s matches — plus Burnley’s porous defensive numbers at home — the best market to target here is the goal market. Back Over 2.5 goals. The data points to an open game with both teams capable of scoring and conceding, making Over 2.5 the most attractive single-market pick for this encounter.