Prediction Cagliari vs Frosinone 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the Coppa Italia on 23/09/2025

Cup heat on Sardegna Arena: Cagliari aiming to turn momentum into progress

The Coppa Italia returns to Sardegna Arena on 23 September and Cagliari will be itching to make the most of home soil against a stubborn Frosinone side. This is a knockout tie in the 2nd Round of the 2025/2026 Coppa Italia, and the atmosphere at the 16,416-capacity venue promises to lift the hosts. Cagliari arrive with fresh confidence after a narrow 2-1 victory at Lecce on 19 September, a match where Andrea Belotti earned plaudits with a best player rating of 8.67. That result followed a 2-0 home success over Parma, showing a team able to produce decisive finishes at key moments. Their recent form line reads as a mixed bag — wins interspersed with draws and defeats — but at home the attacking data tilts in their favour: Cagliari average 11 total shots and register 33 dangerous attacks on average, numbers that signal an appetite to press and create.

Frosinone’s cup test: compact, efficient and capable of trouble

Frosinone come into this tie on respectable form in recent weeks. The club’s run includes a 2-2 draw with Südtirol and a string of results in which defensive organisation has yielded low-scoring matches. Giacomo Calò was highlighted as Frosinone’s best performer in their last outing, with a rating of 7.82, and the team’s recent sequence shows resilience — multiple draws and narrow wins rather than high-scoring affairs. Statistically, Frosinone average fewer shots (around 5) and rely on a more efficient use of chances. Their corners average is higher than Cagliari’s, which can be a subtle threat on set pieces. Historically the head-to-head from January 2024 saw Frosinone secure a 3-1 victory over Cagliari in Serie A, a reminder that they can surprise on their day.

How this tie is likely to unfold

Expect Cagliari to take the initiative. The home side’s attacking volume and dangerous-attack figures suggest they will try to dominate territory and test Frosinone early. Frosinone’s compact profile points to a pragmatic approach: soak up pressure, hit on the break and make set-pieces count. Given the cup setting and single-elimination feel of the second round, neither side is likely to open up recklessly. The recent results hint at a match with scoring chances for both teams but not an all-out goalfest — Cagliari carry more offensive firepower, while Frosinone possess the discipline to keep things tight.

Betting suggestion Based on the available form, match context and statistical indicators, the most sensible bet is a 1X2 selection: back Cagliari to win. Home advantage at the Sardegna Arena, superior attacking numbers and two recent wins that build momentum edge them ahead of a resilient but lower-volume Frosinone side.