Prediction Ceuta vs SD Eibar 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for La Liga 2 on 03/10/2025

Tight encounter expected on the Rock — Ceuta host an energetic Eibar side

The tone for this La Liga 2 clash is set to be tense and tactical as Ceuta invite SD Eibar to the Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube on October 3. Round 8 arrives with both teams carrying momentum of different hues: Ceuta sit 15th with eight points after seven matches, having shown flashes of resilience at home, while Eibar occupy a more comfortable sixth and bring a slightly sharper attacking profile on paper. The small stadium in Ceuta will be a hostile environment for visitors, and that home advantage is a crucial storyline heading into this fixture.

Ceuta’s recent run includes a goalless draw with Cádiz and a narrow 1-0 win over Real Zaragoza, underscoring a side that can be difficult to break down on their turf. The home defensive numbers are striking: just two goals conceded at home so far this season, suggesting the hosts set up with structure and discipline when they welcome opposition. That solidity has been backed by reasonable shot metrics — Ceuta average 10 shots per game and create nearly 92 attacks, showing they can threaten but prefer a measured approach.

Eibar’s edge comes in volume, but not yet in away finishing

Eibar arrive with more attacking volume: 104 total shots and 38 on target across their matches, and their averages for attacks and dangerous attacks outpace Ceuta. Yet the caveat for Eibar is their away return. The Basque side have only managed two goals away this season while conceding four; they are potent at times, but not a prolific threat on the road. Recent results show an industrious team capable of grinding out results — a 2-1 home win over Real Sociedad II and a 1-1 draw with Deportivo La Coruña — but the travel to Ceuta and the hosts’ low home concession record complicate a straightforward prediction.

Both-teams-to-score indicators and over/under trends are mixed. Ceuta’s home BTTS percentage sits around 33%, whereas Eibar’s away BTTS is 50%, producing a clash of styles: a tight, defensive host against a higher-volume, but inconsistent, visitor. Historical meetings are thin on modern context, leaving form and micro-statistics to shape expectations for this contest.

Betting suggestion

Considering Ceuta’s strong home defensive record (just two goals conceded at home) and SD Eibar’s modest goals return away (only two away goals so far), this fixture is primed to be a low-scoring battle. The best single-market play is the goal market: Under 2.5 goals. The data supports a cautious outlook — expect a competitive, compact game where chances are at a premium and defenses have the edge.