Prediction CF Montréal vs Nashville SC 2025 – Betting Tips for the Major League Soccer on 04/10/2025

Match context and form guide

Stade Saputo will host what looks set to be a compelling clash as struggling CF Montréal welcome a confident Nashville SC on 04/10/2025. Montréal come into this fixture sitting 13th in the table, their season a rollercoaster of occasional fireworks and too many defensive lapses: 33 goals scored but a worrying 56 conceded across 32 matches. Their recent results show flashes — a convincing 4-1 away win over Charlotte highlighted by Dante Sealy’s strong performance — but those bright moments are interspersed with defeats to New York RB and St. Louis City that underline inconsistency. Montréal’s home record is a particular concern: just 13 goals scored at Stade Saputo and 32 conceded, and only four clean sheets all season.

Nashville SC arrive in far healthier shape, perched sixth and noticeably more potent in attack. With 55 goals on the season and a superior defensive ledger (39 conceded), they mix cutting attacking output with a capability to shut games down, evidenced by nine clean sheets. Their recent form includes cup silverware — a 2-1 win in the US Open Cup final over Austin where Hany Mukhtar was influential — and a string of league victories that have kept them competitive. Nashville’s numbers show a team that creates more and better chances: higher shot counts, more dangerous attacks and a stronger over-2.5 profile than Montréal.

Tactical tilt and historical edge

The head-to-head from earlier in the campaign tilts in Nashville’s favor — a 3-0 win back in March — and the statistical tale supports that outcome repeating. Nashville’s away tendencies show an inclination to find the net on the road (21 away goals) while Montréal have been porous at home. The goal-scoring profiles also hint at a match where chances will flow: Nashville’s 65.6% over-2.5 matches suggests they often play open, forward-oriented football, while Montréal have produced high-scoring outcomes intermittently.

Match narrative prediction

Expect Nashville to control phases of the match with sharper attacking transitions and a settled defensive shape that has delivered them nine clean sheets this season. Montréal will seek to use home atmosphere and recent confidence from the 4-1 win to unsettle Nashville, but their defensive frailties make them vulnerable to a team who can press and punish turnovers. This should be a game where Nashville’s consistency and recent cup momentum carry weight; Montréal can threaten on the counter, yet the balance of quality and form points to the visitors edging the result.

Betting suggestion: 1X2 — Back Away (Nashville SC) at 1.97. Nashville’s superior goal numbers, recent cup-winning momentum and historical 3-0 victory earlier in the season make them the most likely winner; the odds represent reasonable value on an away side that has been both productive and defensively reliable.