Prediction Chad vs Ghana 2026 season – Betting Tips for the CAF World Cup Qualifiers on 04/09/2025

Match outlook: David vs Goliath on paper, but expect goals

Two months out from kick-off, the data paints a clear picture for this CAF World Cup Qualifiers clash. Chad arrive with a string of heavy defeats and scarce attacking output, while Ghana stroll in as the group favourite after recent commanding wins. Their March meeting still stings for Chad — a 5-0 defeat in the last competitive encounter — and the numbers since only underline the gulf between these sides. Chad’s recent run reads like a cautionary tale: multiple losses and just a couple of draws, while Ghana’s form includes resounding victories, a 4-0 friendly win over Trinidad and Tobago and a 3-0 win in Madagascar, showing they can both control and finish matches.

Form, fixtures and recent finishes

Looking at recent scorelines, Chad have been on the wrong end of heavy results: a 5-0 reverse to Ghana, 4-0 against Côte d’Ivoire and narrow defeats elsewhere. Their latest friendly ended in a 2-1 loss to Kenya but also included a 0-0 draw, revealing a side that can be found wanting at both ends. Ghana’s recent pattern is far more convincing: three clear victories in warmups and qualifiers, and a last friendly where Jordan Ayew was highlighted as man of the match in a 4-0 rout. The tournament-stage meeting between these nations was decisive — Ghana 5, Chad 0 — and history rarely lies in qualifiers of this intensity.

Statistical edge and what it means

Ghana dominate in underlying metrics. They have outgunned opposition across total shots (72 to Chad’s 29) and produce far more dangerous attacks and corners. Ghana’s shot conversion numbers and clean sheets underline their clinical finishing and defensive resilience: five wins, only one loss in the sample and three clean sheets recorded. Chad, by contrast, have conceded heavily away and struggled to find the net consistently. The over/under indicators also favour an open match — Ghana have a high over-2.5 involvement in recent outings and the prior 5-0 meeting suggests goals are likely.

Prediction and betting suggestion

Expect Ghana to control possession, pepper the box and turn chances into goals. Chad will fight to stem the tide but their recent defensive record and prior head-to-head history make a comeback unlikely. Based on form, head-to-head and shot metrics, this is shaping into a match with multiple goals rather than a tense, low-scoring affair.

Betting suggestion: Goal market — Back Over 2.5 goals. This selection aligns with Ghana’s tendency to score multiple goals in recent matches, Chad’s defensive vulnerabilities and the high shot volume produced by Ghana in the data.