Prediction Chengdu Rongcheng vs Gangwon 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the AFC Champions League Elite on 30/09/2025

Match context and immediate form

Chengdu Rongcheng welcome Gangwon to the Chengdu Sports Center on September 30 in an intriguing qualification tie for the AFC Champions League Elite. The stage might be labeled “qualification,” but both teams have brought serious momentum into the encounter. Chengdu arrive off a run that reads largely positive: in ten recent fixtures they have collected six wins, three draws and a single loss, with the mouthwatering 3-3 draw away at Zhejiang on September 26 and a commanding 4-1 home success over Shanghai Port still fresh in the memory. That attacking appetite is backed by heavy shot numbers and a real presence in the box — Chengdu averaged 21 total shots across the sampled matches, with nine of those on target and a strong rate of dangerous attacks.

Gangwon are no walkover. The Korean side have shown resilience and a streak of productive results in mid-September, including victories against Shanghai Shenhua and Seoul, and they arrive with an attacking output reflected in an eye-catching attacks average of 129 and dangerous attacks averaging 62. However, their most recent domestic outing produced a 0-0 draw with Daejeon Citizen on September 27, a reminder that their recent sequence also contains a clutch of draws and a capacity to frustrate — both as the team doing the frustrating and as the team being frustrated.

Key match dynamics

Home advantage points decisively in Chengdu’s favor. The home side’s statistics underline a greater efficiency in creating chances from the middle third and getting efforts on target; their shots-on-target total and higher corners average illustrate a side that presses and tests goalkeepers consistently at their venue. Gangwon, conversely, pair that attacking potency with a tendency toward compact, draw-prone outcomes recently. The balance here should produce a competitive, possibly end-to-end game, but the edge belongs to the team who will enjoy the crowd and the rhythm of their home pitch.

Chengdu’s recent draw with Zhejiang showcased both their capacity to score and their occasional defensive leakiness, while Gangwon’s last match highlighted defensive solidity but a lack of cutting finishing on the road. That clash of profiles — home confidence and attacking volume versus an away side that creates dangerous transitions — sets this up as an encounter where home pressure could tell.

Betting suggestion

For the 1X2 market, back Chengdu Rongcheng to win. The combination of superior home attacking numbers, recent form that includes more wins than draws or losses, and the cushion of playing at the Chengdu Sports Center makes them the likeliest side to take all three points. Keep stakes sensible given Gangwon’s ability to disrupt and their recent run of draws; a confident but measured stake on Chengdu to win offers a value play for this qualification clash.