Cruz Azul return to the hallowed turf of Estadio Azteca in Mexico City carrying the unmistakable momentum of a team that has refused to taste defeat this Apertura. The blue shirts sit top of the table after nine rounds, unbeaten with seven wins and two draws, and they arrive after consecutive victories that underline a ruthless home record — recent results include narrow but decisive wins and entertaining encounters that have produced goals and points in equal measure. With a healthy goals-scored tally at home and only five conceded on their patch, Cruz Azul look built to dominate their visitors both in possession and in opportunities created. The stadium environment, with its 83,264 capacity, adds another layer of pressure for opponents who must come prepared to withstand early pressure and sudden attacking bursts.
Querétaro have found life harsher. Sitting 17th in the table with just two wins from nine, their away return has been particularly thin: only three goals scored on the road across the campaign and eight conceded away from home. While they did pull off an impressive 2-0 win over Pachuca in their most recent fixture and showed they can strike on occasion, their underlying numbers paint a picture of a side that struggles to generate consistent attacking threat away from home. Their recent form is patchy; flashes of resilience have been there, but they remain fragile against teams that sustain tempo and press high. The gulf is also reflected in the head-to-head sample — Cruz Azul edged Querétaro 1-0 in February — and in the bookmakers’ pricing, which heavily favors the hosts.
Bookmakers have made their stance clear: Cruz Azul is the heavy favorite at 1.23, an implied probability north of 80%. The home side’s shot volume, dangerous attacks, and superior goal return at the Azteca match up unfavorably against Querétaro’s modest away statistics. Both teams have seen matches with goals — Cruz Azul’s fixtures have been entertaining and open at times — yet the consistency and quality of the home side make a one-sided outcome more likely than not.
Betting suggestion: Back Cruz Azul to win (1) at the offered home price of 1.23. The home form, superior attacking numbers at the Azteca, recent unbeaten run and the bookmakers’ market all point to a clear home victory.
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