Match overview and context
De Graafschap welcome FC Den Bosch to Stadion De Vijverberg on 11 January in what promises to be a lively encounter in Round 22 of the Eerste Divisie. The home side sit third with 37 points from 21 matches and have been oscillating between clinical attacking displays and the occasional slip — 11 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses tell a story of a team that knows how to find the net. FC Den Bosch are not far behind in the table at seventh with 32 points; they have ten wins but have conceded more on the road, which is a clear vulnerability ahead of this trip to Doetinchem.
Form, recent meetings and tactical clues
Recent scorelines make for entertaining reading: De Graafschap have recorded several high-scoring results in December and have won three of their last five fixtures, including a 3-2 win away at TOP Oss and a 2-1 victory at Vitesse. Their home numbers show a decent attacking output (20 goals scored at home this season) while conceding 16 at De Vijverberg — not impenetrable, but effective enough. FC Den Bosch, meanwhile, have picked up important wins recently (including a 2-0 success over Vitesse), yet their away defensive record is concerning: 23 goals conceded away compared to 15 scored. The two sides already met earlier in the campaign with De Graafschap coming away with a 2-1 victory, a reminder that this fixture can produce goals and a narrow margin.
Both teams have shown a tendency for open matches. De Graafschap’s fixtures have produced over 2.5 goals in two-thirds of their matches, while FC Den Bosch’s games have cleared that line even more often. That combination of solid attacking numbers and somewhat porous defending on both sides points toward a competitive, end-to-end contest rather than a cagey stalemate. For context on timing and approach to goal markets, consider reading guidance on the right time to place bets on goal markets. For bettors who like to improve their process through data, explore learn about some of the tools that can help with analysis.
Prediction and betting angle
Bookmakers make De Graafschap the clear favorite at home and with good reason: superior home scoring, better recent league positioning and a previous away victory against Den Bosch. However, the statistical narrative here is dominated by goals. Both teams have repeatedly been involved in multi-goal affairs this season and head-to-head history suggests tight but scoring games.
Betting suggestion: Back Over 2.5 goals. The season-long over-2.5 frequency for both teams (around two-thirds and higher) combined with De Graafschap’s attacking potency at home and Den Bosch’s leaky away defence point strongly to a match with three or more goals. This selection targets the openings both sides have shown at either end and offers a sensible, data-driven route into the market.
