Prediction Djibouti vs Burkina Faso 2026 season – Betting Tips for the CAF World Cup Qualifiers on 05/09/2025

Match preview: David and Goliath in Group Stage round 7

Djibouti hosts Burkina Faso on 05/09/2025 in what shapes up as a stark contrast in class and recent productivity. The numbers paint a clear picture: Djibouti arrive with heavy defeats in their recent results and a fragile defensive record, while Burkina Faso have shown far more cutting edge and consistency in attack. The two teams met earlier in this campaign’s qualifiers with Burkina routing Djibouti 4-1, and that result lingers as an ominous reminder of the gulf between these sides. For Djibouti, a 6-1 reverse to Ethiopia in March underlined defensive vulnerabilities; for Burkina Faso, mixed domestic and tournament results still include a string of wins and a higher goals return.

Form and underlying stats

Djibouti’s recent record reads one win, three draws and six losses in the snapshot available — theirs is a side that struggles to keep opponents quiet, conceding in abundance on the road. Their attacking numbers are modest (total shots and shots on target are low relative to Burkina), and they hold zero clean sheets in the sample provided. By contrast, Burkina Faso have been more productive: they carry higher averages in shots, attacks and dangerous attacks, and their recent slate includes five wins, indicating momentum. The shot-conversion metric attached to the visitors is strikingly high and their goals-for figures outpace Djibouti’s, suggesting that when Burkina get chances they typically turn them into goals.

Head-to-head history from the qualifiers is decisive — a recent 4-1 victory for Burkina shows they can score freely against Djibouti, while the hosts’ recent heavy defeats signal they may once again be vulnerable at the back.

Tactical outlook and what to expect

Expect Burkina Faso to control much of the possession and territory, using their higher volume of attacks and shots to press Djibouti’s fragile defence. Djibouti will likely look to sit deeper and hope to catch the visitors on transitions or set-piece situations, but the numbers suggest patience from the visitors can be rewarded. Given both teams’ recent matches include several high-scoring scorelines and the attacking averages skew in Burkina’s favour, goals appear probable.

Betting suggestion: Over 2.5 goals — backed by recent high-scoring encounters between these teams, Burkina Faso’s strong attacking metrics and Djibouti’s tendency to concede multiple goals in recent matches.