Match Overview and Context
Don Bosco return to Stade du TP Mazembe in Lubumbashi on 18 December full of momentum after a strong run that has seen them string together several wins in the Super Ligue. The fixture carries extra weight in a crowded Group Stage, and the home side will be keen to use familiar surroundings — Avenue du Luapula, a ground that holds 18,000 — to press an advantage over Groupe Bazano. Don Bosco arrive off a convincing 3-0 victory over FC Tshikas and have historically had the edge in this pairing, with the most recent head-to-head ending 2-0 in their favor earlier in 2025.
Form and Recent Results
Form is a story in this encounter. Don Bosco’s latest run reads positively: five wins, three draws and only two defeats across the ten most recent outings. They have shown a capacity to keep clean sheets — four recorded in the available stats — and have a strong home goals record with nine scored at home against four conceded. Groupe Bazano, by contrast, have been inconsistent. Their last outings include draws and a heavy 3-0 loss to Simba, and their overall group numbers reveal trouble at the back, particularly away where they have shipped nine goals. The visitors have eked out only two wins in their last ten and recorded several draws, pointing to a side that can frustrate but also be exposed.
What the Numbers Suggest
This isn’t a matchup of two free-scoring giants. Don Bosco’s home scoring (9) coupled with solid defensive displays at Stade du TP Mazembe gives them a clear edge. Groupe Bazano’s away struggles — conceding heavily and managing just three away goals in the recorded stats — make them vulnerable on the road. The head-to-head history and the immediate form cycle both tilt the balance toward the hosts. For readers keen to refine their approach to market selection, exploring broader principles can help — for instance Soccer betting tips and the choice of markets offers useful context on selecting between match-winner and goals markets. And for anyone managing a smaller bankroll while following matches like this one, consider reading The difficulties of having a small bankroll in betting to protect your stake strategy.
Prediction & Betting Tip
Given Don Bosco’s superior form at home, better defensive record and the head-to-head edge, the most sensible selection in one of the primary markets is the 1X2. Backing Don Bosco to win looks the best single-market play: the home side combine recent momentum, a fortress-like venue profile and an opponent that has shown vulnerability away from home. Betting suggestion: 1X2 — Don Bosco to win.
