Prediction Empoli vs Monza 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the Serie B on 01/10/2025

Match context and recent form

Empoli welcome Monza to Stadio Carlo Castellani on October 1 in a fixture that carries more narrative than the league table suggests. Empoli sit down in 15th with five points from five matches and have been rocked by inconsistency: two draws and three defeats have left the home faithful restless despite a respectable home goals return. Their most recent result was a lively 2-2 draw with Carrarese on September 28, a match in which Andrea Ghion stood out and earned the best player rating for Empoli. Confidence at the Castellani is fragile — no clean sheets so far — but Empoli’s games at home have been entertaining, with a high over-2.5 frequency and a strong tendency for both teams to hit the scoresheet.

Monza arrive in Empoli with a clearer attacking profile and unbeaten resolve in patches. Sitting ninth with seven points, they have shown the capacity to win tight games and keep clean sheets on the road, something the numbers highlight with two away clean sheets already this season. Their most recent outing ended in a narrow 0-1 loss to Calcio Padova, yet Pedro Obiang’s performance was a bright spot for Monza and underscores the midfield presence they’ll deploy. On balance, Monza generate more attacks, more dangerous chances and win moments through control rather than chaotic bursts.

Tactical tugs of war and statistical inklings

The data paints an intriguing picture. Empoli’s home matches carry a 75% rate of both teams scoring, and an 80% rate of games finishing over 2.5 goals; they average solid attacking metrics at home with shots and dangerous attacks, but they concede frequently. Monza, by contrast, bring an aggressive attacking blueprint: higher total shots, better corner numbers and nearly 109 attacks per game, coupled with two clean sheets which signal defensive solidity at times. Historically the teams met in Serie A in May with Monza leaving the field 3-1 winners, a result that will add to their psychological edge.

Given Empoli’s openness at home and Monza’s ability to create chances even when results don’t follow, this promises to be an open contest where both sides can find the net. The bookmakers list the match odds tightly — marginally favouring the away side — which confirms a balance that is likely to be decided in transitional moments and set-piece scenarios.

Betting suggestion

Based strictly on the provided data, the strongest market here is the goal market: Both Teams To Score — Yes. Empoli’s home BTTS rate sits at 75% while Monza’s away BTTS rate is recorded at 100% in the sample provided, combining to make BTTS a compelling selection. This pick aligns with Empoli’s tendency for lively, high-scoring home matches and Monza’s capacity to generate chances away from home, despite mixed results.