Prediction Equatorial Guinea vs Tunisia 2026 – Betting Tips for the CAF World Cup Qualifiers on 08/09/2025

Big stage in Malabo: Tunisia’s away test against a fighting Equatorial Guinea

The Nuevo Estadio de Malabo will host a compelling Group Stage clash on 08/09/2025 as Equatorial Guinea welcome table-toppers Tunisia. On paper the gap is clear: Tunisia sit undefeated at the summit with six wins and a single draw from seven matches, a pristine defensive record that lists zero goals conceded across the campaign and seven clean sheets to their name. Equatorial Guinea, playing at home, have shown moments of resilience but enter this fixture with a mixed group record — three wins, one draw and three defeats — and a negative goal difference, having conceded 10 while scoring seven.

Recent form underlines contrasting trajectories. Equatorial Guinea arrive after a dramatic 3-2 comeback win over São Tomé and Príncipe, a result that showcased character but also exposed defensive fragility earlier in that match. Tunisia, meanwhile, extended their momentum with a convincing 3-0 victory over Liberia, reinforcing their clinical edge in attack and their rock-solid backline. The head-to-head memory also nods in favour of the visitors; Tunisia edged Equatorial Guinea 1-0 in their previous qualifier meeting, a narrow but telling result.

Tactical picture and statistical clues

Statistically Tunisia dominate the attacking and defensive metrics available. They average a higher volume of total shots and shots on target than Equatorial Guinea, while their conversion and cleanup numbers reflect a team that finds the net regularly without opening up at the back. Equatorial Guinea boast decent attacking averages and have produced some high-scoring moments, yet their defensive record at home and away shows susceptibility — seven goals conceded away and a general tendency to be involved in matches where goals flow for opponents.

Odds reflect the underlying form and numbers: the market prices Tunisia as favourites at roughly 2.15 for the away win, while the draw and a home victory are longer at 3.10 and 3.60 respectively. The balance between value and probability is clear — Tunisia carry the momentum, the defensive resume, and the head-to-head edge.

Betting suggestion Given the data — Tunisia’s unblemished defensive record, consistent wins, superior shot and clean sheet statistics, their recent convincing victory, and the market pricing offering reasonable value — the recommended play is a straight 1X2 wager on Tunisia to win.