Match preview and context
When ES Tunis welcomes AS Gabès to the Hammadi Agrebi Stadium on 15 January 2026, the gulf between the two clubs on paper is stark and impossible to ignore. ES Tunis arrive sitting comfortably at the top of the table in the 2025/2026 Ligue 1 season, boasting a return of ten wins, four draws and a single defeat from 15 matches, with an eye-catching goal difference that sees 27 scored and only 3 conceded. Their recent run is similarly impressive — an unbeaten string peppered with convincing victories, including a 4-0 demolition of Ben Guerdane just days before this fixture — a form line that radiates confidence. AS Gabès, by contrast, are anchored at 16th, with just a solitary win to their name and nine points overall; their defensive frailties are clear in the numbers too, having shipped 21 goals while managing only seven for.
Home strength versus away struggles
ES Tunis’s home statistics tell a story of control and dominance. Eighteen of their goals have come at home and they have kept 12 clean sheets this season, indicating an ability to both create and shut down chances in familiar surroundings. Their attacking output — reflected in totals such as 218 shots and 95 on target for the campaign — suggests sustained pressure in the final third, while a corners average over seven per game underlines the territorial advantage they typically enjoy.
AS Gabès, however, are living on the edge away from home. The visitors average fewer than eight shots per match and a sparse offensive return with only three goals away from home. Their defensive ledger away from their own ground is particularly worrying: 16 goals conceded on the road demonstrate susceptibility that a top-of-the-table opponent will be eager to exploit. Formally, their most recent results underline a team that cannot string wins together, with a run filled with losses and draws and without a victory in the last reported sequence.
Tactical implications and what to expect
Given ES Tunis’s ability to control play and AS Gabès’s struggle to score and defend away from home, we should expect a match where the hosts dictate tempo, press high, and look to finish chances early to unsettle the visitors. ES Tunis’s clean sheet record suggests they will prioritize defensive compactness after establishing an advantage, while AS Gabès may be reduced to searching for opportunities on the counter or set-piece moments. The H2H earlier in the season ended 0-0, but the landscape has shifted considerably since then — the current season form and statistics push this clash toward a comfortable home success rather than another stalemate.
Betting suggestion
For punters looking to place a focused wager, the clearest market here is the 1X2: back ES Tunis to win. The balance of form, home domination, goal difference and recent emphatic home performances all point toward a host victory. For readers wanting to sharpen their overall approach to matches like this, a primer on broader strategy can be useful — see this guide on Soccer betting tips and the choice of markets — and for those curious about how to interpret the numbers before staking, take a look at How the betting odds work in sports betting.
