Prediction Everton vs West Ham United 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the Premier League on 29/09/2025

Everton look to steady the ship at Goodison Park

Everton return to Goodison Park on 29 September buoyed by the safety of familiarity and a league position that far outshines their visitors. After five Premier League rounds the Toffees sit 10th with seven points, a compact record of two wins, one draw and two defeats and a modest goal difference that suggests solidity rather than spectacle. Home form reads particularly well on the defensive ledger: two clean sheets at Goodison so far and just two goals conceded away from home across the campaign underline a unit capable of shutting games down when required. Recent cup disappointment at the hands of Wolverhampton Wanderers will sting, but that Carabao Cup exit also handed manager and supporters a reminder of where attention must return—consistency in the league.

West Ham arrive on the back foot

West Ham United face a tougher challenge. Sitting 18th with a solitary win from five matches and a worrying 13 goals conceded, the Hammers are leaking chances and will be under pressure to find answers quickly. Their last Premier League outing ended in a 2-1 reversal to Crystal Palace, and an earlier heavy defeat to Chelsea hints at a squad struggling for rhythm. Statistically, West Ham show sharper shot numbers on target in the sample provided, but the defensive frailties—particularly at home—stand out. Away numbers show fewer goals conceded than at home, but context matters: Everton’s defensive record at Goodison and the crowd will make life difficult for visitors looking to impose themselves.

The matchup and what it promises

This pairing has produced draws and tight affairs recently—their March meeting finished 1-1—so a cautious expectation is reasonable. Everton’s balance between a steady defence at home and a capable, if not prolific, attack suggests they can control the tempo. West Ham have the capacity to create chances—shots on target figures are strong—but converting that into a result will depend on tightening up at the back and matching Everton’s discipline. Referee Samuel Barrott will take charge under the Goodison lights, and the 39,571 capacity stadium provides an atmosphere that should lift the home side.

Betting suggestion

Based on form, league positions and the bookmaker market, the clearest value lies in the 1X2 market. The bookmakers price Everton as favorites at 1.66 (implied probability 60.24%), which reflects their superior home defensive record, superior points tally and the mounting questions around West Ham’s conceding rate. Recommendation: back Everton to win (Home) at 1.66, with a measured stake given the usual variance in football results.