Match context and what’s at stake
FC Den Bosch welcome Vitesse to Stadion De Vliert on 21/12/2025 (kick-off 11:15) in a clash that could define momentum heading into the winter break. Den Bosch sit comfortably higher in the Eerste Divisie table in 7th with 29 points from 20 matches, while Vitesse find themselves down in 19th on 14 points from 19 games. The home crowd of up to 8,500 will be behind a side that has shown a knack for producing goals at De Vliert — 23 scored and only 16 conceded at home — and a recent cup victory over Katwijk will have lifted confidence. Referee Jannick van der Laan will take charge of a game that feels poised to be open and competitive.
Recent form and immediate narratives
Den Bosch arrive off mixed domestic form but with energy from a 2-1 KNVB Beker win over Katwijk on 16 December; Emian-Johar Semedo earned the match rating honours in that tie. Their league campaign has produced nine wins, two draws and nine losses, suggesting streaky consistency. Vitesse’s last league outing was a 2-1 win over RKC Waalwijk on 10 December, with Omar Achouitar singled out as the best performer in that match, but the away side’s results have been patchy — three wins, three draws and four losses in their last ten. Head-to-head earlier in the season also points toward a competitive fixture: Vitesse lost at home to Den Bosch 1-2 back in October, an immediate psychological edge for the visitors in this preview.
Statistical cues that matter
Numbers paint this as a game where goals are likely. Den Bosch boast an over 2.5 rate of 80% and Vitesse 73.68% — both exceptional figures that underline open matches and attacking intent. Both teams also sit around a 50% BTTS frequency, suggesting neither side shies from committing forward. Shot volumes are comparable: Den Bosch average 13.45 shots per match and Vitesse 14.68, with dangerous attacks and shots inside the box showing both sides create chances. Clean sheet counts are low for both (three apiece), reinforcing the expectation of goals.
Prediction and betting outlook
Bookmakers give the advantage to FC Den Bosch at 2.10 for the home win, but the statistical story tilts toward goals rather than a single-team lock. The combination of Den Bosch’s potent home scoring, Vitesse’s need to climb out of the relegation mire, and the high over-2.5 percentages for both clubs suggests this will be open and end-to-end.
For bettors focused on goal markets, timing and discipline matter — learn more about choosing moments to attack goal markets in this guide: The right time to place bets on goal markets. If you prefer broader market strategy and market selection, the primer on Soccer betting tips and the choice of markets is a useful read before committing stakes.
Betting suggestion (final tip): Back Over 2.5 goals. The strong over-2.5 history for both teams, combined with comparable attacking metrics and porous defences away from home, make the goal market the best value play for this fixture. Keep stakes sensible and consider early market lines, as the over/under price can drift once team sheets are confirmed.
