Match context and quick overview
Kigali's Stade Régional de Nyamirambo will host a clash that feels like a test of form against fragility: Gasogi United welcome Al Merreikh on 05/01/2026 in a game that shapes up as a clear chance for the visitors to consolidate their strong start to the 2025/2026 National Soccer League season. Gasogi arrive languishing in 10th, dropping points with a run that has produced more surrender than spark — five losses, one draw and only a handful of wins across their most recent outings — and a worrying pattern of failing to score in several matches. Al Merreikh sit third and arrive on the back of a sustained purple patch: seven wins in their last ten outings and only two defeats in the league so far. The setting in Kigali, a modest 3,000-seat venue, promises an intimate atmosphere, but recent results suggest the home comfort will not be enough to blunt Merreikh’s momentum.
Form, numbers and what they tell us
The statistics underline a clash between a team that is creating fewer chances and bleeding goals at home, and an opponent that converts more often and defends with relative discipline. Gasogi’s 15 matches have yielded 12 goals and 17 conceded; at home they’ve scored just five while conceding ten. By contrast, Al Merreikh’s 11 games have produced 13 goals with only 6 against — an efficiency that shows in their away numbers too: five goals scored and just two conceded on the road. Both sides boast six clean sheets each across competitions, but the balance of recent results leans heavily toward the visitors. The goal-market indicators are cautious: over 2.5 goals has appeared in under a third of both teams’ matches, which hints at controlled, low-to-moderate scoring affairs rather than goal fests.
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Prediction and betting suggestion
Given Al Merreikh’s sustained winning rhythm, superior goals-for ratio, healthier win percentage and Gasogi’s troubling home defensive record, the clearest single-market recommendation is a straight 1X2 pick in favor of the away side. Expect Al Merreikh to control large phases of the game and to press for a decisive result in Kigali. Betting suggestion: 1X2 — Al Merreikh to win. Confidence in this selection is moderate to high based on form and statistical advantage; always stake responsibly and consider small stakes if you’re managing a tight bankroll.
