Prediction Gent vs Dender 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the Pro League on 19/09/2025

Match context and recent form

Gent returns to the Planet Group Arena feeling the momentum of a solid midweek win, and the numbers tell a clear story: this is a club finding its feet in the early stages of the 2025/2026 Pro League season. The hosts occupy 10th spot with eight points from six games, and their recent victory over Antwerp — a 2-1 result that saw Michal Skoras earn the match rating spotlight — should lift confidence ahead of this encounter. Gent’s home figures show an attacking side that creates chances regularly, averaging nearly 15 shots per match and boasting a higher volume of dangerous attacks and corners than their visitors. The venue in Gent, with a capacity north of 20,000, will likely provide a tense but encouraging atmosphere for the home players.

Dender arrive in much darker form and with much smaller attacking output. Rooted to the foot of the table in 16th place, Dender have yet to record a league win this season, collecting only two points from seven fixtures while scoring only twice and conceding ten. Their most recent outing ended in a narrow 0-1 loss to Union Saint-Gilloise, with David Hrncar the best-rated performer on a day when chances were scarce. Statistically Dender produce fewer shots, fewer corners and fewer clear-cut opportunities, and their away numbers show a defense that has kept only a solitary clean sheet while struggling to find the net.

Tactical expectations and key match-up

On paper this looks like a classic clash between a home side capable of pressing and creating and an away team that has struggled for attacking impetus. Gent’s higher averages for shots, shots inside the box and dangerous attacks suggest they will dominate possession around the final third and force Dender into defensive work. The head-to-head history includes a goalless draw earlier this year, a reminder that Dender can be difficult to break down on their day, but the current trajectories and formlines point toward home control. Referee Jan Boterberg will oversee what could be a combative affair; both teams have shown they will commit men in midfield, but the finishing edge appears to sit with Gent.

Betting suggestion

Given the disparity in form, attacking volume and home advantage, the strongest single-market recommendation from the available data is to back a Gent victory in the 1X2 market. Bookmakers price the home win at 1.70, reflecting a roughly 59% implied probability, and that aligns with Gent’s better recent results, superior shot metrics and home influence. For bettors seeking a straightforward, data-driven play, Gent to win offers the best balance of value and likelihood based solely on the information at hand.