Prediction Gent vs Sporting Charleroi 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the Pro League on 03/10/2025

Match overview: home comfort for Gent at Planet Group Arena

Gent welcome Sporting Charleroi to the Planet Group Arena on 03/10/2025 in a Pro League showdown that promises rhythm and goals. The home side go into round 10 with momentum — four wins, two draws and three losses so far this season and a recent confidence-boosting 4-2 victory away at Cercle Brugge. Gent have been productive in front of goal this campaign, finding the net 15 times across nine matches while conceding 12. Their home numbers are particularly noteworthy: seven goals scored and just four conceded at the Planet Group Arena, where they have the backing of a near-20,185 crowd and a clear familiarity with the dimensions and tempo of their surface.

Form and recent meetings: Charleroi hungry but fragile

Sporting Charleroi arrive eighth in the table and on the back of a 0-2 reverse to Mechelen, a result that halted a run of encouraging performances including wins at Genk and Cercle Brugge earlier in September. Charleroi’s record of three wins, three draws and three defeats reflects a side that can produce shocks — they have shown the ability to score away from home — but they have also been vulnerable, shipping 12 goals in nine outings. The pair last met earlier this year in the Pro League and played out a 1-1 draw, so there is historical balance to the fixture that could keep this competitive.

Statistical edges and what to expect

Looking at the numbers, Gent edge the battle for attacking volume: 123 total shots and 46 on target this season versus Charleroi’s 99 shots and 38 on target. Gent create slightly more overall attacking intent (attacks average 103.11 to Charleroi’s 94.56), while Charleroi generate a higher rate of dangerous attacks (49.33), hinting at a counter threat that will test Gent’s backline. Clean sheet counts tell a practical story: Gent have kept two, Charleroi only one — both teams concede regularly, so chances and a lively scoreboard are likely. Over 2.5 goals looks reasonable given Gent’s home over-2.5 frequency (55.56%) and their recent high-scoring wins, but Charleroi’s away BTTS rates suggest they may be limited in producing goals at Gent’s stadium.

Prediction and betting suggestion

This is a match where home advantage and recent form tip the scales. Gent arrive in better nick, have superior shot volume and the bookmakers reflect that confidence with home odds at 2.00 (50% implied probability). Sporting Charleroi are dangerous on transition and will not be easy to break down, but their recent loss and thinner defensive record away leave them vulnerable.

Betting suggestion: 1X2 market — Back Gent to win (Home) at odds 2.00.