Prediction Girona vs Espanyol 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for La Liga on 26/09/2025

Match context and form guide

This fixture at the Estadi Municipal de Montilivi on 26 September promises a clash of contrasting seasons. Girona arrive rooted to the foot of La Liga, yet to register a win after six games and carrying the worst defensive record in the sample with 16 goals conceded. Their recent results read as a wake-up call: heavy defeats to Villarreal and Levante and only two draws to show for six matches. The Montilivi crowd will have seen just one goal scored by the hosts at home so far this campaign, and Girona’s streak of zero clean sheets underlines how porous they have been at the back.

Espanyol, by contrast, sit comfortably inside the top four and have been far steadier. With eleven points from six games and a positive attacking return of ten goals, they travel in better shape and with confidence gleaned from results such as a narrow 3-2 win at home to Mallorca and a 2-2 draw against Valencia in their most recent outing. While Espanyol have shown they can both score and concede — recent matches often featuring multiple goals — their overall balance and recent run of results make them the more reliable pick heading into this weekend.

Tactical outlook and what to expect

Girona’s numbers suggest a team under siege: an average of over nine shots per match but a worrying goals-against tally that implies defensive frailties more than attacking impotence. The hosts will hope last match’s draw in Bilbao, where Azzedine Ounahi earned plaudits, can spark a turnaround, but turning promising moments into full results has been elusive. Espanyol’s pattern is different: capable of quick attacking transitions and prone to open encounters, they bring a dynamic that should test Girona’s backline relentlessly. Edu Expósito’s influence in Espanyol’s recent draw indicates a side that can find a cutting edge when required.

Head-to-head history is recent and fresh — a 1-1 meeting earlier in the year — so neither side can claim a psychological edge. Yet form and league position point strongly toward one outcome. Girona’s inability to close out matches and the sheer volume of goals they concede makes them vulnerable at home. Espanyol’s away record in this small sample looks more muted than at home, but their overall balance and positive results provide the platform required to take advantage.

Betting suggestion

Based on the data, the recommended bet is an Away win (Espanyol) in the 1X2 market. Girona’s alarming defensive numbers (16 conceded), zero wins and minimal home goal return contrast with Espanyol’s stability, superior points tally and recent attacking output. The away price represents value against the broader picture; consider a moderate stake and manage your bankroll responsibly.