Girona return to the Estadi Municipal de Montilivi on 20/09/2025 with a clear need for points after a rocky start to the La Liga campaign. The Catalans sit at the foot of the table without a win in four league matches, managing a single draw and leaking 11 goals while only finding the net twice. Their most recent outing produced a 1-1 draw away at Celta de Vigo, a game in which Vladyslav Vanat earned the praise as Girona’s best performer. Despite the poor string of results, Girona’s underlying attacking numbers are noteworthy: they average 11.25 shots per match and register a healthy 88 attacks on average, supported by a dangerous-attacks average of 42.5. Those figures suggest a side that can create opportunities even if the final product has been lacking so far.
Levante arrive in Girona also searching for consistency. Their four-game start mirrors Girona in points collected but differs slightly in goal metrics — Levante have scored five and conceded nine. Their previous fixture was an entertaining 2-2 draw with Real Betis, a match where Mathew Ryan stood out and received the match’s best player rating. Recent form snippets point to flashes of resilience, and Levante’s over-2.5 percentage sits high, hinting that their matches often contain goals. Yet the away-side numbers reveal a team that struggles to control dangerous attacking sequences on the road; they average only 24.75 dangerous attacks and 60.75 overall attacks, figures that lag behind Girona’s output.
This clash promises to be a contest of contrasting profiles: Girona’s volume and territorial play against Levante’s tendency to produce open, goal-involving matches. Girona’s corner and attacking averages indicate they will look to press and create chances from sustained pressure at Montilivi, while Levante have shown they are not afraid to engage in end-to-end encounters — their matches have produced several high-scoring affairs this season. Neither team has yet kept a clean sheet, and both defenses have been tested repeatedly, so expect transition moments and opportunities at both ends. The home advantage should not be understated; Girona’s capacity to generate more shots and dangerous attacks gives them the upper hand in dictating play.
Based on the data at hand — Girona’s superior attacking volume at home, Levante’s lower dangerous-attack figures on the road, and the bookmaker market favoring the home side with odds of 1.94 (implied probability ~51.6%) — the clearest single-market recommendation is to back Girona to win (1X2: Home). This pick reflects Girona’s ability to create chances at Montilivi and the slight statistical edge in attacking metrics, while acknowledging both teams’ defensive vulnerabilities that make the match lively and open.
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