Match preview
Gorilla welcome Gasogi United in what shapes up as a scrappy, low-scoring affair in the National Soccer League. Both sides arrive under pressure — Gorilla sit 12th with 18 points after 16 matches, while Gasogi United are only marginally better in 11th with 19 points. Recent results underline the struggles: Gorilla were humbled 4-0 by Police Rwanda on 3 January after a mixed December that included a slim win at Musanze and three defeats against stronger opponents. Gasogi United have been similarly inconsistent, coming off a 1-0 loss to Al Merreikh and suffering several heavy defeats earlier in their recent run, though a late mini-revival shows three wins in their last three recorded results on the compact form string.
Form and statistical snapshot
Numbers tell a clear story: both teams are light on goals and porous at the back. Gorilla have managed 10 goals and conceded 16 across their campaign, while Gasogi have 12 goals for and 18 against. Neither side has been prolific in open play — Gorilla average 4.75 shots per game to Gasogi’s slightly higher 5.31, and both record low over-2.5 rates at only 25 percent. Notably, Gorilla’s home BTTS rate sits at 60 percent but that is counterbalanced by a low overall goals output; Gasogi carry a 50 percent both-teams-to-score metric away from home. Clean sheets are recorded for both clubs at six apiece, suggesting matches can swing either to tight defensive battles or see one side concede multiple goals when things go wrong.
Recent head-to-head history gives Gorilla a psychological edge after a 2-1 victory on 20 May 2025, but that result pre-dates the current rocky runs. The teams’ forms — Gorilla’s patchy string of two wins, two draws and six losses in their latest ten outings and Gasogi’s up-and-down sequence culminating in recent wins — point to a clash where neither can be trusted to score freely.
Prediction and betting tip
Expect a cautious contest dominated by errors rather than flair. With both clubs averaging low goals and only a quarter of their matches going over 2.5, the most sensible market here is the goal market. Backing Under 2.5 goals looks the most justifiable route: the season numbers, recent heavy defeats that likely dent attacking confidence, and the balanced but low-shot profiles all support a tightly contested, low-scoring 90 minutes. For bettors wanting to pair strategy with discipline, brush up on your approach by checking some soccer betting tips and the choice of markets and remember that understanding alternatives like the handicap market can help with future selections.
Betting suggestion: Under 2.5 goals — expect a tight game, moderate confidence.
