Match outlook: low-key battle at Stade Frédéric Kibassa Maliba
Lubumbashi will host a clash that promises more grit than glamour when Groupe Bazano welcome Tanganyika to the Stade Frédéric Kibassa Maliba on 15/12/2025. Both sides sit uncomfortably at the foot of the Super Ligue table — Groupe Bazano in 21st and Tanganyika in 22nd — and their recent trajectories suggest this will be a contest fought in the trenches. Groupe Bazano arrive on the back of a 1-1 draw with Saint Eloi Lupopo and a string of draws and defeats that underline their struggles to turn parity into momentum. Tanganyika, meanwhile, took a morale-boosting 1-0 success over Blessing in their most recent outing but otherwise have been inconsistent, with few goals to show across their fixtures.
Form and numbers that matter
The statistical footprint of these clubs paints a familiar picture of conservative, low-scoring encounters. Groupe Bazano have scored nine and conceded 16 in ten matches, while Tanganyika have found the net six times and shipped nine across nine games. Clean sheets are an interesting contrast: Tanganyika boast four, suggesting they can be compact and difficult to break down on their day, whereas Groupe Bazano have managed just one clean sheet at home so far. Over/under indicators lean modest — only 40% of Groupe Bazano's home matches have gone over 2.5 goals and Tanganyika sit at roughly 33% for over 2.5 in their fixtures, pointing toward tight scorelines rather than goal fests.
The head-to-head from earlier in the year still stings for Groupe Bazano — a 4-1 defeat at Tanganyika back in February — but context matters: sides change, and home advantage in Lubumbashi could temper that memory. Given their positions and recent match reports, neither team looks poised to open up recklessly; instead, expect a tactical, cautious affair where mistakes will count more than moments of brilliance.
Betting angle and tactical verdict
For bettors looking to play smart rather than speculative, this matchup fits neatly into the goal market frame. The data suggests a high probability of a low-scoring contest — compact defenses, scarce attacking returns, and recent match histories that favour narrow margins.
Final recommendation (betting suggestion): Back Under 2.5 Goals. This goal-market pick draws support from both teams’ modest goalscoring records, Tanganyika’s relative propensity for clean sheets, and the low percentage of over-2.5 games for both sides. For readers keen to sharpen timing and approach on goal markets, consider reading about the right time to place bets on goal markets, and to refine overall staking and analysis habits check learn about some of the tools that can help with analysis.
