Prediction Gualaceo vs Guayaquil City 2025 – Betting Tips for the Liga Pro Serie B on 04/09/2025

Match Overview

Azogues hosts a tasty Championship Round clash on 4 September as Gualaceo welcome Guayaquil City to Estadio Municipal Jorge Andrade Cantos. The tables already show early separation in the mini-league: Gualaceo sit sixth after a tough return to the Championship Round, while Guayaquil City arrive third having taken maximum points in their opening outing. The scoreboard from recent meetings favours the visitors too; the sides met three weeks ago with Guayaquil City edging out Gualaceo 1-0, a result that sets the tone for this rematch.

Gualaceo come into the fixture with a mixed but fragile run of form. Their recent patch has produced flashes — a 2-1 win away at Vinotinto — but the team has more setbacks than momentum, surrendering three goals in their most recent outing, a 3-0 loss to 9 de Octubre. Home numbers are not disastrous; Gualaceo have found the net at home and average a healthy volume of shots, yet defensive lapses have been costly. Their campaign shows nine wins overall but a run peppered with draws and losses that points to inconsistency.

Guayaquil City travel with the spring in their step. Their recent record reads strongly, featuring six wins from the last ten matches and a string of tight, effective results — 2-1 and 1-0 wins among them. Statistically the visitors boast a higher clean-sheet tally and more steady defensive returns, and they arrive off the back of a 2-1 victory in the Championship Round that highlighted Miller Bolaños’ influence as the best-rated performer in that game. The away side’s ability to grind out results on the road and keep games tight is a big part of their appeal in this matchup.

Tactical and Statistical Angle

This clash promises a contest between a home side that likes to create chances and an away unit built around efficiency and defensive discipline. Gualaceo produce a slightly higher volume of shots per game, but Guayaquil City’s superior record of clean sheets suggests they concede less when it matters. Both teams show roughly 50 percent BTTS outcomes across their samples, indicating a reasonable chance of goals at either end, yet the visitors’ recent ability to win narrow games points to them controlling key moments and closing out matches.

Prediction and Betting Tip

Taking the form, recent head-to-head and defensive stability into account, Guayaquil City look the safer call to take the spoils in Azogues. Gualaceo’s vulnerability at the back — highlighted by the 3-0 reverse in their last match — combined with the visitors’ winning momentum and a prior 1-0 victory over the same opponents makes the away win the most convincing option.

Betting suggestion: Back Guayaquil City to win (1X2).