Prediction Haugesund vs Sandefjord 2025 – Betting Tips for the Eliteserien on 29/09/2025

A one-sided look at Haugesund’s home woes and Sandefjord’s edge

Haugesund welcome Sandefjord to Haugesund Stadion on September 29 with the home crowd bracing for more turbulence than triumph. The stark numbers tell the story: Haugesund sit bottom of the table in 16th with just six points from 22 matches, a meagre return of one win and three draws that underlines an ongoing malaise. Defensively they have been porous all season, shipping 56 goals, and their home record is particularly brutal — only six goals scored on their own turf while conceding 28. Form across the last dozen matches reads like a cautionary tale: heavy defeats outnumber scraps of resistance and confidence appears in short supply.

Sandefjord arrive in far healthier standing. Occupying ninth place with 28 points from 21 outings, they bring a more balanced profile to Rogaland: 37 goals scored on the season and a goal difference that reflects a team capable of both creating and conceding chances. Their recent results have been inconsistent, with losses and a couple of wins peppering the last ten, but they remain the clear statistical favourites. The head-to-head adds further weight to Sandefjord’s prospects — the teams met earlier in the campaign with Sandefjord recording a decisive 4-0 victory, a psychological edge that cannot be ignored heading into this fixture.

What the underlying stats say about how the game could unfold

Looking beyond league positions, the chances of a high-scoring contest are tangible. Both sides’ matches frequently produce goals: Haugesund’s fixtures have gone over 2.5 goals in roughly 64% of cases, while Sandefjord’s matches exceed that mark in over 76% of their games. Haugesund’s defensive frailties combined with Sandefjord’s attacking output point toward an open encounter, and historical evidence — including the earlier 4-0 result — suggests Sandefjord can both penetrate and punish the hosts.

Sandefjord carry momentum from solid attacking numbers and a better overall balance between goals scored and conceded. Their most recent elimination at the hands of Brann (0-3) included a standout performance from Filip Ottosson, who registered the best player rating in that match — a reminder that Sandefjord have individuals capable of turning a game. Meanwhile Haugesund’s cup involvement yielded a narrow draw against Rosenborg only after extra time, but league form remains concerning and confidence fragile.

Betting suggestion

Based on the data, the strongest single-market call is the 1X2 option: back Sandefjord to win. Bookmakers reflect this view too, with Sandefjord priced at 1.55 and an implied probability around 64.5%. The combination of Haugesund’s chronic defensive issues at home, Sandefjord’s superior season-long record, and the convincing 4-0 head-to-head earlier in the season make the away win the most justifiable selection. Play it with measured stake sizing given football’s unpredictability, but this match stacks up as a clear away opportunity.