The second leg of this Copa Sudamericana Round of 16 tie arrives with everything to play for at Estadio Tomás Adolfo Ducó on 19/08/2025. Huracán host Once Caldas after a tightly contested first meeting that finished 1-0 in favor of the Colombian side on 12 August. The home side know exactly what’s required: overturn a one-goal deficit in front of a Buenos Aires crowd of up to 48,314, while Once Caldas will aim to protect their slender advantage and force a knockout without conceding. The atmosphere and stakes are clear, and referee Paulo Cesar Zanovelli will be in charge of what promises to be a combative night.
Recent form lines show Huracán arriving with momentum in domestic play — a late win over Argentinos Juniors on 16 August (1-0) where Hernán de la Fuente earned the best player rating — but their results have been mixed across competitions. Across their latest ten fixtures Huracán display a volatile pattern: a blend of important victories and frustrating losses. At home they have been defensively stout in the sample provided: four clean sheets and zero goals conceded at home in these stats underline a club that defends well on home soil. Attack numbers are respectable too, with 6 goals scored at home and averages that suggest they create opportunities.
Once Caldas arrive with a sturdier-looking overall shot profile: more total shots, higher shots-on-target counts and an eye-catching haul of clean sheets on paper (six in the sample). Their recent slate includes a goalless draw away to Alianza Petrolera and that crucial 1-0 win at home over Huracán in the first leg. Their away numbers show vulnerability at times — four away goals conceded in the dataset — but they possess the composure to manage tight games and grind out results when needed. Joan Parra was singled out as Once Caldas’ best performer in their most recent stalemate.
This tie shapes up as a classic second-leg confrontation: Huracán must press and score, Once Caldas must remain compact and clinical. The market clearly leans toward the home side with odds around 1.57 for a Huracán victory and a 63.65% implied probability — a reflection of their strong home defensive record and the need to chase the tie. Given Huracán’s clean-sheet record at home in the given stats, coupled with Once Caldas’ capability to frustrate opponents but also concede on the road, the balance tilts toward a home victory to swing the tie back in favor of the Argentine hosts.
Betting suggestion: Back Huracán to win (1X2). Odds ~1.57 — take Huracán to overturn the deficit and progress.
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