Prediction Lecce vs Bologna 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the Serie A on 28/09/2025

Preview: Lecce welcome Bologna to Via del Mare with pressure high

Lecce’s Stadio Comunale Via del Mare will host a clash that feels increasingly like a must-win for the home side. Sitting 20th after four Serie A rounds, Lecce arrive with just a single point on the board and a worrying defensive ledger: eight goals conceded and only two scored. The last fortnight has been unforgiving — a 3-0 Coppa Italia loss to Milan most recently and a string of defeats to top-flight opponents — and the mood inside Viale dello Stadio is bound to be tense. Coach and fans will be hoping the familiar turf can spark a reaction, but the numbers underline their struggles: only one clean sheet recorded and an attack that has struggled to convert promising sequences into goals despite a respectable average of shots and dangerous attacks.

Bologna’s steadier stride and why the odds tilt away from Lecce

Bologna travel to Puglia off a mixed but steadier start to the campaign, occupying 11th spot with six points from four matches. They have shown resilience in domestic play, with wins over Genoa and Como balancing defeats by powerhouse opponents and a narrow Europa League reverse to Aston Villa. Statistically Bologna have generated more overall shot volume than Lecce and maintain similar shots on target counts, suggesting they create chances efficiently even if finishing has been modest. Their away defensive record — conceding fewer than Lecce overall — and a head-to-head stalemate earlier in the year (0-0 in February) point to a team able to control tempo and frustrate.

Tactical feel and match temperament

Expect a pragmatic Bologna setup that will look to stifle Lecce’s attempts to build momentum while exploiting transitions. Lecce’s recent matches show vulnerability to high-quality attacks and difficulty in keeping possession under pressure; home advantage may buoy them, but recent form suggests that simply may not be enough against a side used to grinding out results. The referee named for this fixture, Francesco Fourneau, and the compact atmosphere in a 40,800-capacity Via del Mare could influence fine margins, but the broader trend favors the away visitors.

Betting suggestion Bookmakers have made Bologna the clear favourite at roughly 2.06 for the away win, and that aligns with the data: superior recent results, steadier defense, and better chance creation. Backing Bologna on the 1X2 market (Away win) represents the most sensible single-market play given form, statistics and market probability.