Prediction Leeds United vs Everton 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the Premier League on 18/08/2025

Match context and what’s at stake

Elland Road will buzz on August 18 as Leeds United host Everton in the opening round of the 2025/2026 Premier League season. The fixture carries the freshness of a new campaign but is steeped in the familiarity of two clubs that know one another well. Leeds arrive off a promising summer of results and a solid run of form that stretches back through late preseason and the close of the previous domestic schedule, while Everton’s preparation has been more mixed, capped by a narrow friendly defeat to Roma. Referee Chris Kavanagh is appointed for the clash, and with a full Elland Road capable of holding 40,242 fans, home support could be a decisive factor.

Recent form and momentum

Leeds’ recent form reads like the kind of run that breeds confidence: an emphatic 4-0 victory over Bristol City in April, followed by a string of wins that brought momentum into preseason. Their most recent friendly against Milan ended 1-1, with Anton Stach singled out as the standout performer with a 7.42 rating — a sign that Leeds found competitive sharpness against quality opposition. The club’s reported form sequence shows mostly wins and draws and crucially no losses, which points to a team that heads into the opener with belief.

Everton, by contrast, come in with greater variability. The Toffees closed last season with victories against Newcastle United and Southampton but also registered draws and losses in recent fixtures. Their friendly defeat to Roma (0-1) featured Jordan Pickford posting the best rating for Everton at 7.44, indicating a defensive presence that can keep the scoreline tight. Everton’s form line oscillates between wins and losses, a pattern that suggests inconsistency away from home may be a concern against a Leeds side buoyed by home support.

Odds, outlook and final read

Market odds give Leeds the edge: a home win is priced at 2.30 (about a 43.48% implied probability), a draw at 3.40 (29.41%), and an Everton win at 3.10 (32.26%). Those numbers align with the narrative — Leeds look marginal favorites thanks to recent results and the momentum they carry into the new season, while Everton are capable of causing problems but will need to overcome inconsistent form on the road.

Betting suggestion

Based on the available data — Leeds’ stronger recent run, home advantage at Elland Road, and the market favouring the hosts — the recommended play for this fixture is a 1X2 wager on Leeds United to win. The 2.30 quote offers reasonable value given Leeds’ unbeaten build-up and Everton’s patchy pre-season results.