Prediction Leganés vs Castellón 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the La Liga 2 on 29/09/2025

Context and recent shape

Leganés welcome Castellón to Estadio Municipal de Butarque in what shapes up to be a tight, competitive La Liga 2 fixture. The home side sit 13th with seven points from six matches, a sequence defined more by resilience than fluency: one win, four draws and a solitary defeat. Their most recent outing ended in a narrow 0-1 loss to Las Palmas, a game where Duk earned plaudits as Leganés’ best performer. Statistically Leganés produce decent chance volumes at home — an average near ten shots per game with solid numbers for shots inside the box — and they have kept two clean sheets, which underlines their tendency to frustrate opponents and force shared points.

Castellón arrive in 17th and with their own brand of unpredictability. They have scored freely this season but have been porous at the back, yielding 11 goals in six outings. Their recent form includes an impressive 3-1 win away at Cultural Leonesa and a wild 3-3 draw, results that showcase an aggressive, attack-first approach. Castellón’s underlying numbers back that up: they register the higher volume of attacks and shots overall between the two teams, rack up corners consistently, and their matches more often than not turn into goal-laden affairs. Álex Calatrava starred in their last victory, highlighted by a standout rating.

Tactical matchup and what to expect

This is a classic contrast of styles. Leganés prefer to control tempo at home and have been hard to beat, producing many draws by keeping matches compact and grinding out results. Castellón, by contrast, are an attacking outfit that creates more dangerous chances and looks willing to leave space when they push forward. That dynamic points toward an open contest with clear opportunities at both ends: Leganés’ defensive organization will be tested by Castellón’s relentlessness, while Castellón’s backline could be vulnerable to Leganés’ probing when they commit men forward.

Bookmakers make Leganés the favorite with a quoted home win around 2.15, while the draw and away results sit in the mid-threes. Those odds mirror the narrow edge granted to Leganés’ consistency at Butarque, but they don’t negate Castellón’s proven goal threat.

Prediction and betting suggestion

Expect a lively encounter where both teams have genuine paths to influencing the scoreline. Given Castellón’s propensity for high-scoring affairs and Leganés’ tendency to be involved in matches where both sides find the net, the clearest statistical theme is goals at both ends rather than a one-sided shutout. The safest, value-driven selection from the available markets is the goal market: Both Teams to Score — Yes. This selection respects Leganés’ defensive record at home while acknowledging Castellón’s aggressive, high-volume attacking profile and recent multi-goal fixtures. Suggested stake: moderate, based on confidence in the data trends and the odds environment.