Prediction Libertad vs Guaraní 2025 – Betting Tips for the Copa Paraguay on 01/10/2025

Match preview: tension in Asunción as knockout football arrives

As the Copa Paraguay moves into its Round of 16, Estadio Dr. Nicolás Leoz will host a mouthwatering clash: Libertad against Guaraní on 01/10/2025. This tie has the feel of a classic Paraguayan cup tie — two teams with contrasting recent trajectories, local pride on the line and a packed 10,000-capacity venue set to create a tense backdrop. Libertad arrive off a disappointing league defeat at Nacional Asunción where Hugo Fernández finished as their top-rated performer in a 3-1 loss, while Guaraní come in with momentum after a string of strong results and Luis Martinez turning in the best rating in their most recent draw.

Form lines and recent meetings

Recent head-to-head history is unambiguous: the last meeting on 25/08/2025 ended in a 4-0 victory for Guaraní, a result that still resonates and will be on the minds of Libertad’s coaching staff and supporters alike. Libertad’s form reads like a rollercoaster — two wins, five draws and three losses across their latest ten outings, with some attacking flashes such as a 4-1 away win at Sportivo Luqueño but also troubling slips including back-to-back losses in late September. Guaraní, by contrast, have compiled seven wins, one draw and two defeats in their last ten, a run that includes a convincing 4-0 triumph on home turf earlier in the month and a steady string of positive results.

Statistically the two sides set up in interesting fashion: Libertad’s match metrics show a higher volume of shots overall with 22 total shots and 12 on target in the sample provided, suggesting they can create chances; Guaraní’s numbers are leaner in shots but backed by consistent attacking returns and a greater number of wins. Defensive resilience has been a feature for both in recent outings — both sides carry one clean sheet in the reported sample — but the psychological edge from the recent 4-0 H2H and Guaraní’s superior string of results cannot be ignored.

Tactical outlook and what to expect

Expect Guaraní to come with confidence and a clear plan to exploit transitions and quick combinations in the final third, a template that has produced goals in their recent wins. Libertad will be under pressure to be more clinical and to avoid the lapses that have cost them points late in matches. The cup setting amplifies the margin for error; one turn of momentum can settle the tie.

Betting suggestion: After weighing form, the most recent head-to-head and the momentum carried by Guaraní, the recommended market is 1X2 — back Guaraní to win.