Prediction Madagascar vs Chad 2026 – Betting Tips for the CAF World Cup Qualifiers on 08/09/2025

Match context and recent form

Madagascar return to home soil riding a tangible wave of momentum in Group Stage action. Sitting second in the group with 13 points from seven matches, they arrive having won four, drawn once and lost twice across their campaign. The island nation has shown it can both grind out results and entertain, registering 11 goals while conceding six. Their recent run features eye-catching results: a 2-0 victory over the Central African Republic in their most recent outing, a narrow 3-2 defeat to Morocco and a pair of tight knockout-style wins in the build-up that underline a team comfortable in high-pressure moments.

Chad, by contrast, are anchored to the foot of the table with a single point from seven matches. The visitors have struggled to turn possession into meaningful returns, managing only two goals while shipping 16. Their last match produced a morale-boosting 1-1 draw away to Ghana, but earlier heavy defeats — including a 5-0 reverse to the same Ghana side — expose a defense that can be brittle against higher-quality opponents. The form string shows no wins so far in competitive action and a run of results that suggest the visitors are still searching for a reliable way to turn opportunities into points.

Tactical outlook and key indicators

Numbers tell a clear tale of contrast. Madagascar create more chances on average, registering higher shot volumes and dangerous attacks, and their shot conversion sits at a striking figure in the dataset compared to Chad’s more modest offensive returns. Madagascar average over four corners per game and boast three clean sheets in the campaign; Chad have yet to keep a clean sheet and average fewer than two corners per outing. The head-to-head history further tilts the scales: their most recent meeting ended in a 3-0 success for Madagascar, and that kind of psychological edge cannot be ignored.

Both teams have registered games where both sides score at about a 50% clip in the supplied btts metric, suggesting matches between these countries can swing either way in terms of shared scoring. However, Madagascar’s superior finishing and home comfort give them the upper hand in controlling the tempo and converting chances.

Prediction and betting suggestion

Expect Madagascar to assert themselves early and press for a decisive result. Their recent 2-0 win and overall scoring consistency suggest they can break down Chad’s defence while keeping things tight at the back. A realistic match projection is a Madagascar victory by a one- or two-goal margin, with a 2-0 final scoreline a sensible forecast based on recent outcomes and statistical trends.

Betting suggestion: 1X2 market — Madagascar to win (back the home victory).