Prediction Mali vs Comoros 2026 – Betting Tips for the CAF World Cup Qualifiers on 04/09/2025

Form and recent meetings

Mali arrive into this Group Stage fixture in good rhythm. Their sequence of results reads like a team that rarely loses — the latest string shows five wins, four draws and a single defeat across the last ten outings. Recent scorelines include a dominant 6-0 win over Eswatini and a convincing 3-0 victory away at Comoros earlier in the campaign, a result that still hangs large in the memory for both sets of supporters. Comoros, meanwhile, have been more up-and-down: five wins and three losses in the same sample, with narrow victories such as 1-0 over Madagascar and a mixed set of results against stronger opposition including a 3-1 loss to South Africa. The head-to-head from March 20, 2025 — Comoros 0-3 Mali — gives Mali a psychological edge heading into this rematch.

Tactical match-up and team profiles

Numbers paint Mali as the more aggressive unit. They average more total shots (81 to 69) and more shots on target (34 to 26), while their attacking metrics show a higher volume of dangerous actions and corners — an indication of territorial dominance and sustained pressure in the final third. Mali’s shot conversion figure appears inflated in the raw data, but the concrete output — a series of multi-goal wins and only one loss in the reported run — underscores a side that finds the net with regularity.

Comoros are compact and capable of causing problems on transition; their recent narrow wins suggest they can close spaces and take their chances when they arrive. Both teams boast three clean sheets apiece in the stats provided, meaning defensive solidity is not absent from either side. Still, Mali’s capacity to produce high-volume attacking sequences and their prior 3-0 success over Comoros make them favourites on paper.

Prediction

This clash is likely to favour Mali. Expect them to press the issue, dominate possession in the attacking third, and create a series of high-quality chances. Comoros will be dangerous on the counter and can nick moments of their own, but the pattern of recent results — combined with Mali’s superior shot numbers and that decisive 3-0 H2H win — points to a Mali victory. Goals should be on the agenda given both sides’ recent attacking outputs and the frequency of matches featuring goals in their form lines.

Betting suggestion

Tip (1X2): Back Mali to win. Confidence: medium — Mali’s recent head-to-head dominance, superior shot volume and stronger recent form make them the sensible pick for a 1X2 stake.