Match outlook: Malmö Stadion awaits a must-win encounter
Malmö FF return to Malmö Stadion under pressure on 22/01/2026, with Europa League Group stage form that reads alarmingly for the Swedes: six matches played, zero wins, a single draw and five defeats. Their campaign has been defined by defensive frailty and a barren attacking line — three goals scored versus twelve conceded — and recent results underline the struggles, including a 0-1 friendly loss to Legia Warszawa. Statistical trends at home don’t fully soothe concerns: just two clean sheets and an average of 8.5 shots per game suggest they lack the consistent offensive threat required to flip their group fortunes.
Crvena Zvezda travel as the form side
Crvena Zvezda arrive with momentum. They sit comfortably ahead in the group with ten points from six games and have translated that into a convincing run of results in recent fixtures. Their squad has combined efficiency and solidity — five goals for and five against in the group — and an overall form line showing seven wins in their latest ten matches. Offensive numbers are encouraging: a higher shots average (12.33) and more entries inside the box hint at an attack capable of testing Malmö’s porous rearguard. Even after a 0-2 friendly reverse to Salzburg, their string of wins beforehand underlines a team confident on the road.
Tactical and market implications
From a market perspective the bookmakers mirror the on-field story. Crvena Zvezda are priced close to even money at 1.98 for an away win, while Malmö languish at 3.55 and the draw at 3.65 — a clear nod to the visitors’ superior form and group position. Goal markets are less straightforward: Malmö’s matches have often seen goals, but Crvena Zvezda’s European games show a more controlled scoring pattern. Shots per game and clean sheet counts suggest this could be competitive and cagey, especially with Malmö desperate not to surrender more ground.
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Prediction and betting suggestion
The clearest signal from form, group standing, shot metrics and bookmaker pricing points to an away victory. Crvena Zvezda's superior consistency, better shot volume and healthy group position make them the sensible selection in the 1X2 market. Betting suggestion: back Crvena Zvezda to win (Away) at the quoted price — this captures the best value based on the data provided.
